Gladwin/Roscommon Area Forecast 

APX AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY

.DISCUSSION...COOL...CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES TODAY...THEN RETREATS INTO NEW ENGLAND ON FRIDAY.
MODERATING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY DUE TO A
WARMER SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW AS THE HIGH RETREATS. LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE UPPER GREAT LAKES OVER THE WEEKEND...AND
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY
NIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THE SHOWERS
MAY LINGER INTO SUNDAY AS WELL.



FORECAST

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-182015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
627 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY 
                    SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........GOOD (340). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST 
                    AFTER 0200. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37...EXCEPT AROUND 41 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (70). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68. 
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN 
                    THE AFTERNOON. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........GOOD (580). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


$$

CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
627 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY 
                    SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60. 
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (210). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST 
                    AFTER 0200. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36. 
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (40). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69. 
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (890). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


EXTENDED FORECAST


.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

JSL




GRR AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY

.DISCUSSION...A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL SLIP DOWN FROM 

NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY.  A COOLER AIRMASS WILL FILTER

IN FOR TODAY.  NO PRECIPITATION IS FORECASTED WITH THIS FRONTAL

PASSAGE.










FORECAST

MIZ037>039-043>045-182015-

CLARE-ISABELLA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT

341 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700...THEN 

                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62. 

   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST 

                    AFTER 0200. 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38. 

   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING 

                    LIGHT. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 

                    AROUND 20 MPH OVERNIGHT. 

VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. 

   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1200 (EXCELLENT) 

                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 





$$



EXTENDED FORECAST



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...

THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS

IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO

11 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. 







$$

DTX AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY

.DISCUSSION...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY

NIGHT...HOWEVER...RH VALUES WILL REMAIN GENERALLY ABOVE 50 PERCENT.

THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND CHANCE OF RAIN WILL RETURN ON

SATURDAY AND LAST THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY

WEATHER RETURNS ONCE AGAIN FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.


FORECAST



MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT

412 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 8 AM...THEN 

                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN 

                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN 

                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62. 

   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........58-67 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER. 

20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......6950-7450 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST. 

VENTILATION INDEX...'GOOD' (530). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43. 

   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER. 

20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......860-1060 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (10). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70. 

   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER. 

20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......4610-5110 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH 

                    LATE. 

VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (750). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 





$$



EXTENDED FORECAST



.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S. 



$$



CB

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