Gladwin/Roscommon Area Forecast 

APX AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY

.DISCUSSION...
SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE WILL MEANDER THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN 
TODAY...DELIVERING SEVERAL ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS WILL BRIEFLY IMPROVE FOR SUNDAY AS HIGH 
PRESSURE ARRIVES...WITH ANOTHER PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND STORMS 
ANTICIPATED FOR LABOR DAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. 
SEASONABLE AND PRECIPITATION FREE CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BEHIND 
THAT FRONT FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK.


FORECAST

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-302030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
534 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED 
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 
                    1100...THEN PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED 
                    THUNDERSTORMS. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 
                    AROUND 25 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (830). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.20-0.41 IN. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND 
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN 
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG AFTER 0200. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67. 
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN 
                    THE EVENING. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (160). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.19 IN. 

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 
                    1000. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........GOOD (590). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 18 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


$$

CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
534 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PERIODS OF 
                    SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. 
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (980). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.33 IN. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND 
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN 
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF DRIZZLE. PATCHY 
                    FOG AFTER 0200. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66. 
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (290). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.13 IN. 

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 
                    1000. CHANCE OF DRIZZLE UNTIL 1000. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79. 
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (620). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 18 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


EXTENDED FORECAST


.LABOR DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

MG




GRR AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA TODAY WILL 

RESULT IN PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THESE SHOULD COME 

TO AN END BY LATE EVENING. ANOTHER PERIOD OF STORMS IS EXPECTED ON

MONDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND MONDAY. 




FORECAST

MIZ037>039-043>045-302015-

CLARE-ISABELLA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT

248 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 

                    0900...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. 

   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 

                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1700 (EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........0.32-0.60 IN. 



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF 

                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 

                    UNTIL 0500. PATCHY FOG AFTER 0200 UNTIL 0500. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. 

   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN. 



.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. 

   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100-7600 FT AGL 

                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...600-1000 (EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 





$$



EXTENDED FORECAST



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS

UNTIL MIDDAY...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS AROUND 80. 







$$



WDM

DTX AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY

.DISCUSSION...

WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS A COLD FRONT

APPROACHES. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR

90...AND WINDS WILL GUST TO 30 MPH. MIN HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO

REMAIN AT 45 PERCENT AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO LIKELY BY

AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. WINDS

AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY ON SUNDAY AS THE

FRONT WEAKENS AND STALLS OVER CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN...AND THEN MOVES

BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT ALLOWING WARM AND HUMID

CONDITIONS TO PERSIST. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FOR

LABOR DAY...WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.


FORECAST



MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT

407 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED 

                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 

                    8 AM...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED 

                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT. 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85. 

   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER. 

20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......8850-9350 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 

                    TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON. 

VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (2610). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN. 



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS 

                    AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT. 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER. 

20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......620-820 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 

                    10 MPH LATE. 

VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (20). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN. 



.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE 

                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...20 PERCENT. 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84. 

   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER. 

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......7770-8270 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1080). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 





$$



EXTENDED FORECAST



.LABOR DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 80S. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. 



$$



BT

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