Huron/Manistee National Forest Forecast

APX AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND LATE THIS EVENING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF
THIS COLD FRONT WILL BE STRONG...WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 30
MPH IN SOME LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL DECREASE AND TURN MORE WESTERLY
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEHIND THE FRONT.

TUESDAY WILL BE RATHER QUIET WITH JUST A SMALL CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN 
SHOWERS. WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY 
WITH THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING LATE 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING FRIDAY AND 
INTO THE WEEKEND.    



FORECAST

PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
648 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE 
                    FOG UNTIL 0800...THEN PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0900. 
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
                    LIKELY UNTIL 1700...THEN SHOWERS AND 
                    THUNDERSTORMS. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT DRIER ALONG 
                    THE COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN 
                    THE AFTERNOON. 
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (840). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.27 IN. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND 
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN CHANCE OF 
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63. 
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN 
                    THE EVENING. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (80). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.24-0.36 IN. 

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78...EXCEPT 63-68 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (830). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN. 


$$

CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
648 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE 
                    FOG UNTIL 0800...THEN PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0900. 
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85. 
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1010). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 
                    AROUND 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.31 IN. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND 
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN CHANCE OF 
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63. 
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN 
                    THE EVENING. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (80). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.24-0.36 IN. 

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78. 
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1380). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN. 


$$
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
648 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 
                    0800. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83. 
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER 
                    ALONG THE COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 
                    MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (810). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.25-0.34 IN. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND 
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000...THEN CHANCE OF 
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 
                    AFTER 2000 UNTIL 0200. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62. 
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG 
                    THE COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN 
                    THE EVENING. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (20). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6 
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.29 IN. 

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79. 
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1090). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN. 


EXTENDED FORECAST


.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

TL




SOUTHERN THREE-QUARTERS OF THE MANISTEE NATIONAL FOREST

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA FROM

MID MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD REACH

SEVERE LEVELS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. IT WILL BE WARM AND

MUGGY TODAY WITH HIGHS FROM NEAR 80 TO THE LOWER 80S. RAIN SHOULD

TAPER OFF AND END TONIGHT AS THE FRONT SAGS SOUTH OF THE STATE.

DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR TH MOST PART FROM TUESDAY INTO

WEDNESDAY. 


FORECAST



MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...

FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS

403 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2014



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND 

                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 

                    3400-3900 FT AGL INLAND. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1100 (EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........0.19-0.30 IN. 



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN 

                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND 

                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2300...THEN A CHANCE 

                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE EVENING. 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65. 

   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING 

                    BECOMING LIGHT. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 2000-2500 

                    FT AGL INLAND. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 

                    MPH OVERNIGHT. 

VENTILATION INDEX...100-500 (POOR TO GOOD). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.11 IN. 



.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79. 

   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 50-55 

                    PERCENT INLAND. 

   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 22 

                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 11 MPH IN THE 

                    AFTERNOON. 

HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...3600-4100 FT AGL. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5800-6300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 

                    8300-8800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH 

                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 

VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1600 (EXCELLENT) 

                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 





$$



EXTENDED FORECAST



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

6 TO 11 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 

.SATURDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. 







$$

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