Huron/Manistee National Forest Forecast

APX AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE 
END OF THE WORK WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND
MOSTLY RAIN FREE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND GENERALLY
SOUTHERLY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WHEN THEY WILL BECOME
WESTERLY. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.


FORECAST

PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
417 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER 
                    2300 UNTIL 0200...THEN AREAS OF FOG. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32...EXCEPT 36-41 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (10). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 3 
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG 
                    UNTIL 1200. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56. 
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (140). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN 
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN 
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41. 
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (20). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN 
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN PERIODS OF DRIZZLE 
                    UNTIL 1400. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES WARMER NEAR 
                    THE COAST. 
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT...EXCEPT 86-91 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER 
                    ALONG THE COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........GOOD (320). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


$$

CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
417 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN 
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER 
                    2300 UNTIL 0200...THEN AREAS OF FOG. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30. 
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (10). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG 
                    UNTIL 1200. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56. 
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (140). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN 
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2100. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40. 
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (60). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN 
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN PERIODS OF DRIZZLE 
                    UNTIL 1400. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59. 
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (200). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


$$
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
417 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER 
                    2300 UNTIL 0200...THEN AREAS OF FOG. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31. 
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (10). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 
                    1200. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56. 
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 16 PERCENT WETTER 
                    ALONG THE COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (170). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN 
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2100. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45. 
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (100). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN 
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN PERIODS OF DRIZZLE 
                    UNTIL 1400. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55. 
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 
MIN HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 93-98 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (140). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


EXTENDED FORECAST


.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 

$$

AM




SOUTHERN THREE-QUARTERS OF THE MANISTEE NATIONAL FOREST

.DISCUSSION...

MAINLY DRY AND MILD WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY CONTROL THE WEATHER FOR THE AREA. A 

WEAKENING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND 

FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING MAINLY CLOUDS WITH IT OTHER THAN A CHANCE OF A RAIN 

SHOWER THURSDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY 

NIGHT AND SATURDAY...BUT SHOULD REMAIN DRY.


FORECAST



MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...

FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS

326 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH 

                    OVERNIGHT. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN 

                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN 

                    SHOWERS. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44. 

   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING 

                    BECOMING LIGHT. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 

                    OVERNIGHT. 

VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63. 

   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 





$$



EXTENDED FORECAST



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO

11 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 50S. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. 







$$

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