Huron/Manistee National Forest Forecast

APX AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO EXIT EAST TODAY. THIS WILL ALLOW A 
WEAK DISTURBANCE WITH A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE TO CROSS
THE REGION TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN
CROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN SATURDAY...BRINGING SOME GUSTY WINDS AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES.


FORECAST

PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
545 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN 
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0900. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56. 
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT...EXCEPT 63-68 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (170). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN 
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER 
                    2100 UNTIL 0500. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 0500. 
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0200. PATCHY 
                    DRIZZLE AFTER 0500. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37...EXCEPT AROUND 40 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (10). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG 
                    UNTIL 0800. PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL 0800...THEN 
                    PERIODS OF DRIZZLE UNTIL 1100. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62...EXCEPT 49-54 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT...EXCEPT 86-91 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER 
                    ALONG THE COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (250). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


$$

CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
545 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE 
                    FOG UNTIL 0900. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54. 
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (180). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN 
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER 
                    2100 UNTIL 0500. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 0500. 
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR PATCHY DRIZZLE AFTER 
                    0200. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38. 
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (10). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG 
                    UNTIL 0800. PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL 0800...THEN 
                    PERIODS OF DRIZZLE UNTIL 1100. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61. 
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (240). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


$$
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
545 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 
                    0900. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57. 
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT WETTER 
                    ALONG THE COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (270). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                    RAIN UNTIL 2100...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 
                    0200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR PATCHY 
                    DRIZZLE. PATCHY FOG AFTER 2100 UNTIL 
                    0200...THEN AREAS OF FOG. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42...EXCEPT 44-49 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 20 DEGREES WARMER 
                    NEAR THE COAST. 
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (60). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG 
                    UNTIL 0800. PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL 0800. PERIODS 
                    OF DRIZZLE AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1100. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT...EXCEPT 89-94 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (200). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


EXTENDED FORECAST


.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

BERGER




SOUTHERN THREE-QUARTERS OF THE MANISTEE NATIONAL FOREST

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A FEW LIGHT

RAIN SHOWERS INTO THE AREA TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE

QUITE LIGHT...LESS THAN 0.05. OTHERWISE DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED

TODAY AND FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO

SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS IN THE 50S TO AROUND 60.


FORECAST



MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...

FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS

348 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN 

                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG 

                    UNTIL 1000. 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. 

   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN 

                    SHOWERS. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43. 

   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING 

                    BECOMING LIGHT. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN. 



.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60. 

   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH IN 

                    THE AFTERNOON. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 

                    2400-2900 FT AGL INLAND. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 





$$



EXTENDED FORECAST



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 9 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO

11 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 50S. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S. 







$$

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