Huron/Manistee National Forest Forecast

APX AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE INCHING THROUGH THE WESTERN LAKES TONIGHT WILL BUILD 
ACROSS MICHIGAN EARLY TODAY...BUT WITH SHOWERS INCREASING THIS 
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. THAT FRONT WILL 
ARRIVE HERE EARLY FRIDAY...BRINGING A PERIOD OF RAIN CHANGING TO 
SNOW AS WELL AS WINDY AND MUCH COLDER WEATHER. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL DWINDLE FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH CHILLY AND DRY CONDITIONS
ANTICIPATED FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.


FORECAST

PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
457 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN 
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1100. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49. 
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........GOOD (410). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS 
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT 
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 
                    0500. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37. 
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE 
                    WEST AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH 
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (270). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.20 IN. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN AND CHANCE OF 
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400. SNOW AFTER 0800. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39. 
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 
                    45 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1560). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 27 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 39 MPH 
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.33 IN. 


$$

CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
457 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN 
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1400. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49. 
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (720). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS 
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT 
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 
                    0500. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37. 
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (230). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.14 IN. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN AND CHANCE OF 
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400. SNOW AFTER 0800. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38. 
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 
                    MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1480). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 21 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 36 MPH 
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.24 IN. 


$$
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
457 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS 
                    AFTER 0800. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49. 
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (720). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS. SNOW 
                    SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 
                    2400. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37. 
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG 
                    THE COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH 
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........GOOD (450). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.17 IN. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS OR RAIN 
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
                    SNOW AFTER 1200. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38. 
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 
                    45 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1940). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 TO 39 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.23 IN. 


EXTENDED FORECAST


.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

AM




SOUTHERN THREE-QUARTERS OF THE MANISTEE NATIONAL FOREST

.DISCUSSION...OUR FIRST SIGNIFICANT BLAST OF COLD AIR WILL ARRIVE ON 

HALLOWEEN BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH FROM CANADA. 

NORTH WINDS GUSTING OVER 40 MPH COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S 

WILL CREATE WIND CHILLS AROUND 20 DEGREES BY THE END OF THE DAY. 

ALSO MANY AREAS WILL SEE THE FIRST SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON WITH SOME 

LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ON THE GRASS. TEMPERATURES WILL 

MODERATE ABOVE NORMAL NEXT WEEK. 


FORECAST



MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...

FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS

423 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1400. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50. 

   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 

                    5200-5700 FT AGL INLAND. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS 

                    UNTIL 2300...THEN RAIN SHOWERS. SNOW SHOWERS 

                    AFTER 0500. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38. 

   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 

                    3900-4400 FT AGL INLAND. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1500 (EXCELLENT) 

                    OVERNIGHT. 

PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.23 IN. 



.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW 

                    SHOWERS. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40. 

   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 

                    41 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 

                    5900-6400 FT AGL INLAND. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 35 TO 40 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...2800 (EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.11 IN. 





$$



EXTENDED FORECAST



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE

EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 8 TO

13 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. 



$$



MEADE 

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