Michigan DNR Cadillac Forecast
FOR THE NORTHERN QUARTER OF THE MANISTEE FOREST

FORECAST

450 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

...TRENDING WETTER TODAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE INTO NEW ENGLAND TODAY...ENDING UP OFF THE 
EAST COAST THIS WEEKEND. MEANWHILE...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE WILL 
TRACK FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY SATURDAY. 
THIS PATTERN WILL DELIVER A COUPLE ROUNDS OF RAIN AND PERHAPS A FEW 
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY INTO SATURDAY...WITH A BRIEF BREAK EXPECTED ON 
SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN ON LABOR DAY...AS A COLD FRONT MARCHES 
THROUGH THE REGION. 

MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
450 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78. 
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 25 PERCENT WETTER 
                    ALONG THE COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (860). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 21 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.13 IN. 

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS 
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CHANCE OF 
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70. 
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG 
                    THE COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (110). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 21 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.15 IN. 

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN UNTIL 
                    1200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS AFTER 
                    1200. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79. 
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT...EXCEPT 87-92 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (990). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.38 IN. 


$$

EXTENDED FORECAST


.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY WITH POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORMS AND DRIZZLE. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.LABOR DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

MG




FOR THE SOUTHERN THREE-QUARTERS OF THE MANISTEE FOREST

FORECAST

249 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014



...WET WEATHER INTO MONDAY...



.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AS THE

WARM FRONT COMES THROUGH THE AREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE

MORE WIDESPREAD SATURDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA LATE

IN THE DAY. IT SHOULD BE QUIET ON SUNDAY BUT THEN A STRONGER COLD FRONT

ON MONDAY WILL BRING MORE STORMS TO THE AREA.



MIZ037>039-043>045-292015-

MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...

FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS

249 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY 

                    UNTIL 1000...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 

                    1500...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

                    THUNDERSTORMS. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81. 

   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2400-2900 FT AGL. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2400-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 

                    4500-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1000 (EXCELLENT) IN 

                    THE AFTERNOON. 

PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.52 IN. 



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF 

                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN 

                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69. 

   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......400-900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1900-2400 

                    FT AGL INLAND. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR) 

                    OVERNIGHT. 

PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.33 IN. 



.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 0900...THEN 

                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83. 

   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 

                    4500-5000 FT AGL INLAND. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1500 (EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........0.24-0.49 IN. 





$$



EXTENDED FORECAST



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE

EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS AROUND 80. WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. 







$$

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