Michigan DNR Cadillac Forecast
FOR THE NORTHERN QUARTER OF THE MANISTEE FOREST

FORECAST

402 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

...SEASONAL FOR THE WORK WEEK WITH RAIN THIS WEEKEND...

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER LAKE SUPERIOR...WILL GENERATE A FEW 
RAIN SHOWERS NORTH OF THE STRAITS OF MACKINAC TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 

OTHERWISE A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED IN THE OHIO 
VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES...WILL GENERATE SOME SUN AND NEARLY SEASONAL 
TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN TO END THE WORK WEEK.

HOWEVER...A STORM SYSTEM ORGANIZING OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...
WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS PATTERN WILL 
GENERATE WARM TEMPERATURES AND RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN 
THIS WEEKEND.


MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
402 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45. 
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (20). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66. 
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (830). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN 
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42. 
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE 
                    NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (220). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE 
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61. 
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........FAIR (280). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


$$

EXTENDED FORECAST


.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST IN THE EVENING...THEN AREAS
OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

SWR




FOR THE SOUTHERN THREE-QUARTERS OF THE MANISTEE FOREST

FORECAST

309 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014



...DRY...



.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL OUR WEATHER

TODAY KEEPING CONDITIONS DRY AND COOLER THAN NORMAL.  A WEAK

COLD FRONT WILL SLIP SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT.  

NO PRECIPITATION IS FORECASTED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.  CANADIAN

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FOR THURSDAY WITH COOL WEATHER TO

PREVAIL.









MIZ037>039-043>045-172015-

MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...

FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS

309 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. 

   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44. 

   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH 

                    OVERNIGHT. 

HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 

                    OVERNIGHT. 

VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64. 

   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL MIDDAY BECOMING 

                    LIGHT. 

HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 





$$



EXTENDED FORECAST



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 7 TO

12 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS

LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. 







$$

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.