Michigan DNR Cadillac Forecast
FOR THE NORTHERN QUARTER OF THE MANISTEE FOREST

FORECAST

356 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

...COOL TEMPERATURES TO START THE WORK WEEK...

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING AS A COLD FRONT CONTINUES 
TO MOVE THROUGH THE STATE. THE COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY EXIT EAST 
OF THE STATE TONIGHT...ALLOWING COOLER AIR TO FILTER BACK INTO THE 
GREAT LAKES TO START THE WORK WEEK.

A WEAK STORM SYSTEM ROTATING UP INTO HUDSON BAY MONDAY AND TUESDAY...
WILL GENERATE ANOTHER PERIOD OF COOL LATE SUMMER TEMPERATURES AND 
SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS...ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY. 

MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
356 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND 
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN 
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2300. PATCHY FOG AFTER 0200. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56. 
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 
                    MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (110). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.20 IN. 

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68. 
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT...EXCEPT 60-65 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN 
                    THE AFTERNOON. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1180). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 21 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT 55-60 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (0). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 
                    AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS 
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0800. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (720). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.14 IN. 


$$

EXTENDED FORECAST


.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

AM




FOR THE SOUTHERN THREE-QUARTERS OF THE MANISTEE FOREST

FORECAST

329 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014



...COOLER...



.DISCUSSION...COOLER.  A COLD FRONT WILL   PUSH THROUGH THE REIGON

THIS EVENING GENERATING THUNDERSTORMS.  A COOLER AIRMASS WILL 

FILTER IN FROM THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT.









MIZ037>039-043>045-280815-

MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...

FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS

329 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN 

                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF 

                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT IN THE EVENING. 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58. 

   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1400 (EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.12 IN. 



.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70. 

   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1400 (EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52. 

   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING 

                    BECOMING LIGHT. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1100 (EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS 

                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73. 

   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 57-62 

                    PERCENT INLAND. 

   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 7 

                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1600 (EXCELLENT) 

                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN. 





$$



EXTENDED FORECAST



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 9 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

9 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. 







$$

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