Michigan DNR Cadillac Forecast
FOR THE NORTHERN QUARTER OF THE MANISTEE FOREST

FORECAST

437 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

...COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH OVERNIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN
TONIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY STORMS.
TUESDAY WILL BE RATHER QUIET WITH JUST A SMALL CHANCE FOR LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS. WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY WITH THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS
DEVELOPING FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
437 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS 
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62. 
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (50). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 9 
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.18 IN. 

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1300. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76. 
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT...EXCEPT 63-68 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 20 PERCENT DRIER 
                    ALONG THE COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1130). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60. 
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (10). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83. 
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT...EXCEPT 60-65 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG 
                    THE COAST. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH 
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1400). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


$$

EXTENDED FORECAST


.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

AM




FOR THE SOUTHERN THREE-QUARTERS OF THE MANISTEE FOREST

FORECAST

343 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014



...SHOWERS END TONIGHT WITH FAIR WEATHER FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...



.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND A FEW GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST

OF THE AREA AS A WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THIS EVENING.

MAINLY FAIR...WARM...AND DRIER WEATHER RETURNS FOR TUESDAY AND

WEDNESDAY BEFORE MUGGY AIR RETURNS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS

THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.





MIZ037>039-043>045-020815-

MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...

FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS

343 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND 

                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2300...THEN A SLIGHT 

                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE EVENING. 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64. 

   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...100-600 FT AGL. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 

                    600-1100 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH 

                    OVERNIGHT. 

VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR) 

                    OVERNIGHT. 

PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.11 IN. 



.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. 

   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 50-55 

                    PERCENT INLAND. 

   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 22 

                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 

                    7300-7800 FT AGL INLAND. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH 

                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 

VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1400 (EXCELLENT) 

                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN. 



.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59. 

   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...0-300 FT AGL. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3100-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 

                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT. 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN. 



.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83. 

   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 

                    7100-7600 FT AGL INLAND. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1500 (EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 





$$



EXTENDED FORECAST



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. 







$$

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