Michigan DNR Cadillac Forecast
FOR THE NORTHERN QUARTER OF THE MANISTEE FOREST

FORECAST

345 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

...TRENDING WETTER INTO THE WEEKEND...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE 
REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK RESULTING IN PRECIP-FREE AND MILD 
CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TOMORROW ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE 
FROM THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAINING 
ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.

SHOWER CHANCES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT 
INTO THIS WEEKEND AS SEVERAL SYSTEMS ROTATE THROUGH THE AREA. 
A RETURN TO COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.



MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
345 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51. 
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE 
                    SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (0). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 
                    AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78. 
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT...EXCEPT 51-56 PERCENT ALONG THE 
                    COAST. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (710). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF 
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2000. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61. 
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........POOR (40). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN. 

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF 
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79. 
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
VENT RATE...........GOOD (460). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH. 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN. 


$$

EXTENDED FORECAST


.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

MG




FOR THE SOUTHERN THREE-QUARTERS OF THE MANISTEE FOREST

FORECAST

341 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2014



...DRY INTO FRIDAY WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING FRIDAY NIGHT...



.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TONIGHT PROVIDING

A MAINLY CLEAR...COOL AND DRY NIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SLIDE AWAY TO

THE EAST ON FRIDAY WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE

AREA. THE SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THE MOISTURE AND BRING SHOWERS

AND STORMS BACK TO THE REGION BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT. PERIODS OF

SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES

WILL BE NEAR NORMALS FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 EACH DAY.



MIZ037>039-043>045-250815-

MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...

FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS

341 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2014



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52. 

   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1900-2400 FT AGL. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4800-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 

                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 

                    OVERNIGHT. 

VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77. 

   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 45-50 

                    PERCENT INLAND. 

   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 7 

                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. 

HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 

                    5800-6300 FT AGL INLAND. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...800-900 (EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 



.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN 

                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF 

                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. 

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. 

   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER. 

MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING 

                    BECOMING LIGHT. 

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 

                    FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1400 FT AGL 

                    OVERNIGHT. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.70 IN. 



.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF 

                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. 

MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. 

   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. 

MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT. 

   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER. 

WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 

                    AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 

                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 

                    3000-3500 FT AGL INLAND. 

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 

VENTILATION INDEX...300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT). 

PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN. 





$$



EXTENDED FORECAST



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 9 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70.

NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

6 TO 11 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. 







$$

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