Colorado Fire Weather Zone 215

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FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
COLORADO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 441 AM MDT WED OCT 01 2014 .DISCUSSION...TODAY AND TONIGHT...A COMPACT STORM SYSTEM ORGANIZING OVER UTAH EARLY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS COLORADO TODAY AND THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT ACCOMPANYING THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING AND DOWN ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PLAINS OF COLORADO BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITH THE STORM`S PASSAGE WITH THE SNOW LEVEL LOWERING TO AROUND 10 THOUSAND FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND NEAR 8500 FEET BY THIS EVENING. AREAS ABOVE 10 THOUSAND FEET COULD SEE 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION BY LATE TONIGHT. THE WINTER LIKELY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO STEADILY IMPROVE AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH THE STORM SYSTEM EXITING THE STATE. LONG TERM DISCUSSION...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...DRIER CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY AS A DRIER NORTHWEST FLOW PATTER EVOLVES OVER COLORADO. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW SHIFTS NORTHEAST. EXPECT SOME CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS BORDERING WYOMING AND NEBRASKA. COOLER ON FRIDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. A DRYING AND WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND UNDER A CONTINUED NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS... ...ALL SURFACE WINDS ARE 20-FOOT...10-MINUTE AVERAGED WINDS... ...CWR IS CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN - 0.10 INCH OR MORE LIQUID... ...24 HR TRENDS ARE BASED ON AVERAGES OVER THE RESPECTIVE ZONE GROUPS AND MAY NOT MATCH THE ACTUAL FORECAST VALUES SHOWN IN THOSE GROUPS... LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET- INCLUDING ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY...LARAMIE RIVER VALLEY... NEDERLAND...RED FEATHER LAKES 441 AM MDT WED OCT 01 2014 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-53. 24 HR TREND......4-7 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........59-69%. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. 20-FOOT WINDS....... VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3. CWR.................0 PERCENT UNTIL 0700. 60 PERCENT AFTER 1500. 15K FT MSL WINDS....SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE SNOW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-36. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. MAX HUMIDITY........88-98%. 24 HR TREND......20-25% WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS....... VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1. CWR.................40 PERCENT UNTIL 1900. 0 PERCENT AFTER 0300. 15K FT MSL WINDS....WEST 20-30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-56. 24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE. MIN HUMIDITY........29-37%. 24 HR TREND......25-35% DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS....... VALLEYS/LWR SLOPES...WEST 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. RIDGES/UPR SLOPES....WEST 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. LAL.................1. CWR.................0 PERCENT. 15K FT MSL WINDS....NORTHWEST 35-45 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN 25-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. VERY GOOD AFTER 1500. .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. .SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH.
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