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Colorado Fire Weather Zone 227

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR S CNTRL AND SERN COLORADO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
405 AM MDT WED MAY 22 2013

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY VALUES AND
DRY FUELS...REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...WHICH INCLUDES THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE STATE WILL BRING WARMER WEATHER
TO THE DISTRICT TODAY...WITH ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS TO
AREAS OVER AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

A COOL FRONT WILL BACK INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE DISTRICT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LEADING TO COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER THE EASTERN
PLAINS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS
THURSDAY...MAINLY FROM THE SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE EASTWARD.
MEANWHILE...DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE SAN LUIS VALLEY ON
THURSDAY.

BRISK SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP GENERALLY WARM AND
DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...LEADING TO INCREASED
FIRE DANGER. A FEW DIURNAL STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...MAINLY
ACROSS THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS...WITH FLUCTUATING LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE.

SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE VERY GOOD OR BETTER ACROSS WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE DISTRICT TODAY AND THURSDAY. EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE DISTRICT SHOULD SEE GOOD OR BETTER SMOKE DISPERSTION
TODAY WITH FAIR TO GOOD DISPERSION ON THURSDAY.

SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-

INCLUDING...COLORADO SPRINGS...FORT CARSON
405 AM MDT WED MAY 22 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-78F.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-23 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
10K FT WINDS........NORTHWEST 10-25 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(52 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(36 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(51 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-48F.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
10K FT WINDS........SOUTH 15-25 MPH BECOMING 15-30 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 2000 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    POOR.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(57 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-67F.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
10K FT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH INCREASING TO 25-35 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1400.



.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. HIGHS 79 TO 84. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 51 TO 56. HIGHS 81 TO 86.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. HIGHS
80 TO 86. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. HIGHS
80 TO 86.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. HIGHS
80 TO 86.