Colorado Fire Weather Zone 248

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FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
COLORADO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 441 AM MDT WED OCT 01 2014 .DISCUSSION...TODAY AND TONIGHT...A COMPACT STORM SYSTEM ORGANIZING OVER UTAH EARLY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS COLORADO TODAY AND THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT ACCOMPANYING THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING AND DOWN ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PLAINS OF COLORADO BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITH THE STORM`S PASSAGE WITH THE SNOW LEVEL LOWERING TO AROUND 10 THOUSAND FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND NEAR 8500 FEET BY THIS EVENING. AREAS ABOVE 10 THOUSAND FEET COULD SEE 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION BY LATE TONIGHT. THE WINTER LIKELY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO STEADILY IMPROVE AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH THE STORM SYSTEM EXITING THE STATE. LONG TERM DISCUSSION...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...DRIER CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY AS A DRIER NORTHWEST FLOW PATTER EVOLVES OVER COLORADO. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW SHIFTS NORTHEAST. EXPECT SOME CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS BORDERING WYOMING AND NEBRASKA. COOLER ON FRIDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. A DRYING AND WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND UNDER A CONTINUED NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS... ...ALL SURFACE WINDS ARE 20-FOOT...10-MINUTE AVERAGED WINDS... ...CWR IS CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN - 0.10 INCH OR MORE LIQUID... ...24 HR TRENDS ARE BASED ON AVERAGES OVER THE RESPECTIVE ZONE GROUPS AND MAY NOT MATCH THE ACTUAL FORECAST VALUES SHOWN IN THOSE GROUPS... LOGAN COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS COUNTY- INCLUDING CROOK...MERINO...STERLING...PEETZ...JULESBURG...OVID... SEDGWICK...AMHERST...HAXTUN...HOLYOKE 441 AM MDT WED OCT 01 2014 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1300. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-69. 24 HR TREND......4-7 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........38-44%. 24 HR TREND......10-15% WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8-13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. CWR.................0 PERCENT UNTIL 1300. 20 PERCENT AFTER 1600. 15K FT MSL WINDS....SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-8000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN LIGHT AND VARIABLE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0500...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-45. 24 HR TREND......2-4 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........96-99%. 24 HR TREND......15-20% WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1. CWR.................40 PERCENT UNTIL 1900...THEN 50 PERCENT UNTIL 2000...THEN 60 PERCENT UNTIL 2100...THEN 50 PERCENT UNTIL 2200...THEN 40 PERCENT UNTIL 2300...THEN 30 PERCENT UNTIL 0200...THEN 20 PERCENT UNTIL 0300...THEN 10 PERCENT. 15K FT MSL WINDS....WEST 15-25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN NORTH 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-65. 24 HR TREND......2-4 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........27-33%. 24 HR TREND......15-20% DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. LAL.................1. CWR.................0 PERCENT. 15K FT MSL WINDS....NORTHWEST 25-35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7500-8500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 13-20 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. .SATURDAY...WARMER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 8-13 MPH.
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