000
FXUS63 KGLD 050214
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
714 PM MST THU DEC 4 2008

.UPDATE...
710 PM MST THU DEC 4 2008

ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL HAS PRETTY MUCH ENDED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA. ONLY FLURRIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN/SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS AND SKIES CONTINUE TO CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.

LOCKHART
&&

.DISCUSSION...
215 PM MST THU DEC 4 2008

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA. LOCATIONS NORTH OF A LINE FROM YUMA TO GOVE MAY ONLY
RECEIVE A FEW FLURRIES, WHILE LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THIS LINE MAY
RECEIVE MINOR ACCUMULATIONS NOT EXCEEDING ONE INCH. LARGE SCALE
FORCING FOR SUBSIDENCE SHOULD ALLOW SNOW TO DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT
OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER.

ANY BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS TONIGHT WILL LEAD TO RAPID COOLING AND 
TRENDED MINIMUM TEMPERATURES DOWN ACROSS THE NORTHWEST WHERE 
CONFIDENCE IS HIGHEST.

RISING HEIGHTS/THICKNESS SHOULD LEAD TO MODERATING TEMPERATURES ON 
MONDAY. LIMITED INSOLATION/SNOW COVER WILL HAMPER DIURNAL CLIMB AND 
LEANED COOLER IN THE VICINITY OF KIT WHERE SNOWFALL HAS REACHED OR 
EXCEEDED 6 INCHES.

SAT-SUN...ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL SURGE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON 
SATURDAY AS A MID/UPPER TROUGH TRANSLATES OVER THE GREAT LAKES AREA. 
THE TRI-STATE AREA SHOULD REMAIN WEST OF THE COLD AIRMASS WITH 
MODERATING TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE 40S. TEMPERATURES SHOULD 
CONTINUE TO MODERATE ON SUNDAY WITH READINGS THE 50S AS A SHORTWAVE 
RIDGE APPROACHES AHEAD OF THE NEXT TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER THE GREAT 
BASIN AREA.

DAYS 4 THROUGH 7...AT THE START OF THE PERIOD, A SHORT WAVE TROUGH 
IS PROGGED TO DIG ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BRINGING A PERIOD 
OF PRECIPITATION TO THE TRI-STATE AREA. TRENDED TEMPERATURES DOWN AND 
INCREASED POPS INTO THE MID RANGE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY 
NIGHT. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT AS MID/UPPER 
TROUGH DIGS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, WHILE A SHORTWAVE RIDGE 
TRANSLATES OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW SOME 
MODIFICATION OF THE AIRMASS ON TUE AS MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES RISE INTO 
THE LOWER 40S. THIS MODIFICATION WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS ANOTHER 
MID/UPPER TROUGH IS PROGGED TO TRANSLATE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION 
ON WED ALLOWING A COLD FRONT TO SAG SOUTH INTO THE PLAINS STATES LATE 
IN THE PERIOD. INTRODUCED COLDER TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WITH LOW 
PROBABILITIES FOR LIGHT SNOW.
&&

.AVIATION...
509 PM MST THU DEC 4 2008
FOR THE 00Z TAFS... THE LIGHT SNOW IS STARTING TO TAPER OFF ACROSS 
THE REGION...WITH ONLY LIGHT FLURRIES EXPECTED IN THE NEXT HOUR OR 
SO AT KGLD. KMCK SHOULD REMAIN DRY. CEILINGS WILL BEGIN TO LIFT 
SHORTLY AFTER THE TAF ISSUANCE AT KGLD...STRATUS APPEARS TO MAKE ITS 
WAY NEAR KGLD AROUND 05-07Z AND THUS HAVE INSERTED MVFR CONDITIONS 
FOR A FEW HOURS.  THE WINDS AT BOTH TERMINALS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND 
VARIABLE UNTIL MID-DAY FRIDAY.

KJ
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

$$