000 FXUS63 KICT 100848 AFDICT AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 248 AM CST WED FEB 10 2010 .DISCUSSION... FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS INCLUDE PATCHY FOG/FREEZING DRIZZLE CHANCES TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. MAY STILL SEE SOME SHALLOW PATCHY FREEZING FOG THROUGH MID/LATE MORNING TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SETTLE EAST ACROSS THE AREA. NOT ANTICIPATING WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG BY ANY MEANS...BUT INSTEAD LOCALIZED SHALLOW PATCHY FOG FOR MAINLY LOW LYING AREAS OVER SNOW COVERED REGIONS. OTHERWISE...CLOUDY SKIES WILL ROLL IN FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING...AS LOW TO MID-LEVEL WARM/MOIST ADVECTION COMMENCES AHEAD OF WEAK SHORTWAVE ENERGY APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. SIGNAL ISN'T ALL THAT STRONG...BUT WITH CONTINUED LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING...THINKING THERE IS AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE AND/OR FREEZING FOG TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THE SLIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE CHANCES WILL BE CONFINED MAINLY TO CENTRAL KANSAS...WITH PATCHY FREEZING FOG CHANCES EXTENDING FARTHER EAST. BEST FOG CHANCES WILL LIKELY BE OVER SNOW COVERED AREAS. OTHERWISE...AFTER A FEW MOSTLY CLOUDY DAYS...THINGS SHOULD CLEAR OUT SOME BY FRIDAY AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY FINALLY MOVES EAST OF THE AREA. GFS AND ECMWF HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT THE PAST FEW DAYS REGARDING ANOTHER COLD SNAP. ECMWF IS STILL A BIT FASTER THAN THE GFS...WITH COLDER AIR ARRIVING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS WOULD SUGGEST THE COLDER AIR TO ARRIVE SOMETIME SATURDAY EVENING. HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY LOOK TO BE IN THE 30S...WITH LOWS LIKELY IN THE TEENS. THE CHILLY AIR SHOULD MODERATE SOME BY MONDAY/TUESDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES EAST...ALTHOUGH SOMEWHAT CHILLY TEMPERATURES MAY CONTINUE DUE TO PERSISTENT NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. ADK && .AVIATION...06Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU SURFACE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY ON WED. LIGHT WINDS WILL LEAD TO GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING..ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS WITH SNOW COVER. THIS LIGHT WIND AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP TO NEAR THE CROSS-OVER DEWPOINT TEMP AFTER 10Z/WED...WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME PATCHY FREEZING FOG...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE 135 NEAR THE KHUT/KICT/KRSL AND KSLN TAF SITES. NOT ALOT OF CONFIDENCE IN HOW LOW VISIBILITIES WILL GO....BUT LACK OF DEEP LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...MORE SURFACE BASED...WILL ONLY LEAD TO MVFR VSBYS OF 2 TO 5 MILES. MID CLOUD DECK LOOKS TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN HALF OF KS AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES ON WED...WITH KHUT/KICT/KRSL AND KSLN BECOMING BKN AT AROUND 5000 FEET FOR THE AFTERNOON INTO WED EVENING. KETCHAM && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... WICHITA-KICT 32 22 37 24 / 0 0 10 10 HUTCHINSON 31 21 36 23 / 0 10 10 10 NEWTON 31 21 37 24 / 0 0 10 10 ELDORADO 32 19 37 24 / 0 0 10 10 WINFIELD-KWLD 33 21 39 25 / 0 0 10 10 RUSSELL 29 19 35 21 / 0 10 10 10 GREAT BEND 30 20 35 22 / 0 10 10 10 SALINA 30 20 36 22 / 0 10 10 10 MCPHERSON 30 20 36 23 / 0 10 10 10 COFFEYVILLE 33 20 40 26 / 0 0 10 10 CHANUTE 32 18 39 25 / 0 0 10 10 IOLA 31 17 39 25 / 0 0 10 10 PARSONS-KPPF 32 18 40 25 / 0 0 10 10 && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && $$