000
FXUS65 KPUB 081006
AFDPUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
306 AM MST SUN NOV 8 2009

.SHORT TERM...
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)

ANOTHER RELATIVELY QUIET WX DAY IN STORE FOR TODAY. SOME WAVE CLOUDS
WILL KEEP SKIES PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORN OVR THE PLAINS...BUT
HIGH CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE A BIT BY AFTERNOON. HAVE MAINTAINED TEMPS
A LITTLE BELOW GUIDANCE FOR THE PLAINS TODAY AS TEMPS ALOFT FALL
CONSIDERABLY THROUGH TODAY...WITH H7 TEMPS FALLING TO AROUND 3 DEG
OR SO OVR THE I-25 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. THIS COOLING AND WEAK 
UPSLOPE FLOW WILL HOLD MAXES TO THE 60S TODAY.

TONIGHT...CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AS A WEAK TROUGH APPROACHES 
FROM THE WEST. TREND OVR THE PAST COUPLE DAYS HAS BEEN FOR LESS AND 
LESS QPF WITH THIS SYSTEM...SO HAVE FOLLOWED GUIDANCE IN CUTTING 
BACK POPS ESPECIALLY OVR THE LOWER TRRN. BEST SHOT OF SOME LIGHT 
PRECIP OVERNIGHT WILL BE OVER LAKE COUNTY AND THE NRN MTN 
RANGES...ALONG WITH POSSIBLY TELLER COUNTY AND THE PALMER DVD. COULD 
SEE SOME LIGHT SN ACCUMS OVR THE SAWATCH AND POSSIBLY EVEN RAMPARTS 
BY MON MORNING...BUT THESE SHOULD GENERALLY BE LESS THAN AN INCH OR 
TWO. EXTENT OF LOW CLOUDS BY MON MORN LOOKS LIMITED...MAINLY OVR 
THE ERN SLOPES AND FAR SERN PLAINS CLOSE TO THE CO AND KS BORDER.
ROSE

.LONG TERM...
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)

ON MONDAY A WEAK SHRTWV TROF WL MOVE ACRS THE AREA. MSTR ACRS THE
AREA WL BE LIMITED BUT THERE MAY BE A SMALL CHANCE FOR SOME
SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE MORNING HOURS. MAX TEMPS ON MON SHOULD BE
RIGHT AROUND NORMAL. THAT SHRTWV TROF WL MOVE E OF THE AREA MON
NIGHT WITH AN UPR RIDGE BUILDING OVR THE AREA FOR TUE WITH DRY WEA
EXPECTED ACRS THE AREA AND TEMPS WARMING SEVERAL DEGREES. THE UPR
RIDGE WL KEEP THE WEA DRY THROUGH WED NIGHT AND TEMPS ON WED WL BE
A LITTLE WARMER THAN THOSE ON TUE...WITH HIGHS AT LEAST 10 DEG F
ABOVE NORMAL. TEMPS WL STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR THU...BUT THE
APPROACH OF A NEW UPR TROF WL MEAN A CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS OVR
THE FAR WRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA FOR WED AFTERNOON...WHILE THE REST
OF THE CWA REMAINS DRY. THE UPR TROF THEN MOVES INTO CO THU NIGHT
AND A FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE SE CO PLAINS. PCPN
CHANCES WL INCREASE OVR THE SW AND CENTRAL MTS THU NIGHT...AND
THERE WL ALSO BE A CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS OVR THE ERN MTS. THE
UPR TROF WL MOVE ACRS THE FORECAST AREA THRU FRI...BRINGING PCPN
CHANCES TO MUCH OF THE AREA. TEMPS WL ALSO BE COOLER AND CLOSER TO
NORMAL. THE UPR TROF MOVES EAST OF THE AREA FRI NIGHT...BUT
ANOTHER SHRTWV TROF IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE FOUR CORNERS AREA
BY SAT MORNING AND THEN MOVES ACRS NRN NM AND SRN CO DURING THE
DAY SAT...WHICH COULD BRING SOME PCPN TO THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE TODAY WILL BRING UPSLOPE FLOW TO 
THE PLAINS BY TONIGHT...ALONG WITH SOME AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS BY MON 
MORNING. DO NOT ANTICIPATE EXTENSIVE LOW CIGS AFFECTING THE TAF 
SITES...BUT SOME MVFR AREAS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...PARTICULARLY W 
OF I-25 AND OVR THE RAMPART RANGE AND PALMER DVD TONIGHT. ROSE

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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