Historical Chances for a White Christmas?

"Will we have a white Christmas?" It is one of the big questions asked every holiday season. The graphics and table below were created from historical data from NOAA'S National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). It reflects the normal chance, or probability, of a white Christmas based on data from the 1981-2010 three-decade averages. A white Christmas is defined as having 1 inch or more of snow on the ground Christmas morning. The graphics provide a general sense of the likelihood of a white Christmas over the entire country and the Midwest. They are based on the latest (1981-2010) U.S. Climate Normals from NOAA's National Climatic Data Center.  For a specific location in Eastern Iowa, Northwest Illinois, or extreme Northeast Missouri, refer to the table. The table is also based only on data from 1981-2010.  For more information, Click HERE.

For prediction of your actual weather on Christmas Day, check out your local forecast at Weather.gov/QuadCities.
 

 
 
Click on the images below to enlarge.
national probability of a white Christmas regional probability of a white Christmas
National White Christmas Map - Based on 1981-2010 Normals Midwest White Christmas Map - Based on 1981-2010 Normals
 
 
 
Illinois stations: blue text/white background   -   Iowa stations: black text/blue background   -   Missouri station: black text/white background

Values that are starred (*) have 5 or more missing years.
 
Station
Number of Christmas' from
1981-2010 with 1
"/more of snow
on the ground Christmas morning
1981-2010 Normal
Probability of
1"/more of snow
on the ground Christmas morning
( x / 30 )
Number of Missing Years
( x out of 30 )
Moline - QC Airport
13
43
0
Freeport
15
53
2
Geneseo
13
43
3
Illinois City
10*
33*
5*
Kewanee
8*
27*
7*
La Harpe
13
40
1
Morrison
16
53
0
Mount Carroll
17
57
0
Walnut
6*
20*
10*
Cedar Rapids - Marion
14
47
0
Dubuque
14
47
1
Bellevue
18
60
1
Burlington
8*
27*
7*
Clinton
15
50
1
Cascade
15
50
3
Columbus Junction
9
30
3
Fairfield
9
30
4
Iowa City
12
40
2
Keokuk
5*
17*
8*
Keosauqua
4*
13*
11*
Muscatine
12*
40*
5*
Washington
8
27
3
Williamsburg
11*
37*
6*
Memphis, Missouri
4*
13*
10*
 
 
 
 
 

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