Historical Chances for a White Christmas?

"Will we have a white Christmas?" It is one of the big questions asked every holiday season. The graphics and table below were created from historical data from NOAA'S National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). It reflects the chance, or probability, of a white Christmas based on data from past years. A white Christmas is defined as having 1 inch or more of snow on the ground Christmas morning. The graphics provide a general sense of the likelihood of a white Christmas over the entire county and the Midwest. They are based on the full period of record for a station, which in some cases could extend as far back as the 1800s. For a specific location in eastern Iowa, northwest Illinois, or extreme northeast Missouri, refer to the table. The table is based only on data from 1981-2010. Thus, there may be slight differences between what the graphic depicts and the probability for a specific city or town. For more information, Click HERE.
 

 
 
Click on the images below to enlarge.
national probability of a white Christmas regional probability of a white Christmas
National White Christmas Map - Based on 1981-2010 Normals Midwest White Christmas Map - Based on 1981-2010 Normals
 
 
 
Illinois stations: blue text/white background   -   Iowa stations: black text/blue background   -   Missouri station: black text/white background
 
Station
Number of days with a
Christmas Snow Depth >= 1"
(1981-2010)
Probability of a
Christmas Snow Depth >= 1"
(%)
Number of Missing Years
Moline - QC Airport
13
43
1
Freeport
15
53
2
Geneseo
13
43
3
Illinois City
10
33
5
Kewanee
8
27
7
La Harpe
12
40
1
Morrison
16
53
0
Mount Carroll
17
57
0
Walnut
6
20
10
Cedar Rapids - Marion
14
47
0
Dubuque
12
40
7
Bellevue
18
60
1
Burlington
8
27
5
Clinton
15
50
1
Cascade
15
50
3
Columbus Junction
9
30
3
Fairfield
9
30
4
Iowa City
12
40
2
Keokuk
5
17
8
Keosauqua
4
13
11
Muscatine
12
40
5
Washington
8
27
3
Williamsburg
11
37
6
Memphis, Missouri
4
13
10
 
 
 
 
 

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