WGUS83 KFGF 120224
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
924 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS NOW CANCELLED FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
NORTH DAKOTA...

  * MINTO...ON THE FOREST RIVER...IN WALSH COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  * EAST GRAND FORKS...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN POLK AND GRAND FORKS 
  COUNTIES
  * OSLO...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN MARSHALL...WALSH...POLK AND GRAND 
  FORKS COUNTIES
  * DRAYTON...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN MARSHALL...WALSH...KITTSON AND 
  PEMBINA COUNTIES
  * PEMBINA...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN KITTSON AND PEMBINA COUNTIES
  * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER ...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * CROOKSTON...ON THE RED LAKE RIVER ...IN POLK COUNTY
  * ABOVE WARREN...ON THE SNAKE RIVER ...IN MARSHALL COUNTY
  * ALVARADO...ON THE SNAKE RIVER ...IN MARSHALL COUNTY
  * HALLOCK...ON THE TWO RIVERS RIVER ...IN KITTSON COUNTY
  * ROSEAU...ON THE ROSEAU RIVER ...IN ROSEAU COUNTY
  * GRAFTON...ON THE PARK RIVER ...IN WALSH COUNTY

  
.THERE ARE TWO CHANGES WITH THIS ISSUANCE PACKAGE...ROSEAU HAS BEEN INCREASED IN 
FLOOD SEVERITY TO MODERATE WHILE THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOREST RIVER AT
MINTO HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  OTHER POINTS CONTINUE TO RUN WITHIN THE FORECAST HYDROGRAPHS. 
LIGHT RAINFALL IS FORECAST OVER THE SUBJECT BASINS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT 
AMOUNTS ON THE ORDER OF ONE TENTH INCH SHOULD NOT BE EXPECTED TO HAVE ANY ADVERSE
IMPACTS TO RIVER STAGES.   

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED
  MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS EVENT.

  FORECASTS ARE UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW 
  WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. RIVER FORECASTS USUALLY USE 
  24 HOURS OF EXPECTED PRECIPITATION BUT DEPENDING ON THE SITUATION 
  IT MAY INCLUDE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC119-NDC035-131424-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EGFM5.1.SM.140410T1135Z.140414T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...EAST GRAND FORKS...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST BETWEEN 35 AND 37 FEET SOMETIME 
  MONDAY.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 36.5 FEET, EAST GRAND FORKS...RIVER HEIGHTS
  TRAIL HEAD & PARK CLOSES.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

RED RIVER
  EAST GRAND FORKS  35.2   35.8   36.0   35.7   34.8   33.7   32.5


LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699


$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-131424-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSLM5.2.SM.140410T2022Z.140414T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...OSLO...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...
  MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST BETWEEN 33 AND 35 FEET SOMETIME 
  MONDAY.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

RED RIVER
  OSLO              32.0   33.1   33.5   33.5   33.3   32.8   32.0


LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725


$$

MNC069-089-NDC067-099-131424-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0013.140413T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/DRTN8.1.ER.140413T1800Z.140416T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...DRAYTON...ON THE RED RIVER.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO BETWEEN 35 AND 37 FEET BY WEDNESDAY.
* THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS FORECAST. USGS WILL
  TAKE A MEASUREMENT AT HALSTAD AND EAST GRAND FORKS WHICH WILL 
  HELP PROVIDE MORE CERTAINTY TO THE FLOWS IN THE MAINSTEM. 


* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 38.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

RED RIVER
  DRAYTON           29.2   32.9   35.2   35.9   36.0   35.8   35.3


LAT...LON 4881 9734 4848 9725 4846 9705 4874 9702


$$

MNC069-NDC067-131424-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0014.140414T2308Z-000000T0000Z/
/PBNN8.1.ER.140414T2308Z.140419T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...PEMBINA...ON THE RED RIVER.
* FROM MONDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 39.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO BETWEEN 44 AND 46 FEET BY NEXT WEEKEND. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE 
  POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS FORECAST. USGS WILL
  TAKE A MEASUREMENT AT HALSTAD AND EAST GRAND FORKS WHICH WILL 
  HELP PROVIDE MORE CERTAINTY TO THE FLOWS IN THE MAINSTEM. 

* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 44.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

RED RIVER
  PEMBINA           29.8   35.2   39.1   40.6   41.6   42.7   43.6


LAT...LON 4900 9700 4900 9740 4877 9732 4874 9701


$$

MNC027-131423-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140413T1800Z/
/DILM5.1.SM.140410T0442Z.140410T1630Z.140412T1200Z.NO/
924 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          11.7   10.9   10.1    9.6    9.2    8.8    8.5


LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650


$$

MNC119-131423-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140416T1500Z/
/CRKM5.1.SM.140410T1856Z.140411T2230Z.140415T0900Z.NO/
924 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...CROOKSTON...ON THE RED LAKE RIVER.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER IS 
  ACTIVATED. DIKE PATROLLING BEGINS.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

RED LAKE RIVER
  CROOKSTON         17.0   16.8   15.6   14.0   12.6   11.7   11.1


LAT...LON 4779 9694 4771 9653 4785 9623 4785 9649 4794 9701


$$

MNC089-131423-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140415T0200Z/
/MKLM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.140411T0645Z.140413T2000Z.NR/
924 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...ABOVE WARREN...ON THE SNAKE RIVER.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 68.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 67.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

SNAKE RIVER
  ABOVE WARREN      67.8   66.6   63.7   62.6   62.2   62.1   62.1


LAT...LON 4820 9684 4817 9681 4820 9664 4823 9666


$$

MNC089-131423-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140414T1712Z/
/ALVM5.2.SM.140412T0911Z.140412T1800Z.140413T1112Z.NO/
924 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...ALVARADO...ON THE SNAKE RIVER.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 99.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 108.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 108.5 FEET BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MID-MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 108.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE AND 
  OVERLAND SHEET FLOODING OF LOCAL AGRICULTURAL LAND.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

SNAKE RIVER
  ALVARADO         108.5  104.0  101.5  100.2   99.4   98.6   98.5


LAT...LON 4846 9713 4831 9712 4814 9702 4817 9679


$$

MNC069-131423-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140419T0000Z/
/HLLM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.140413T1800Z.140417T1800Z.NO/
924 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...HALLOCK...ON THE TWO RIVERS RIVER.
* UNTIL FRIDAY APRIL 18...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 802.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 804.5 ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 804.5 FEET, BACKUP AT REACH 2 DIKE, 
  CEMETERY ROAD AT 6TH ST. S. - SHUT STORM VALVE.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

TWO RIVERS RIVER
  HALLOCK          804.3  804.5  804.1  803.4  802.6  801.7  800.7


LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667


$$

MNC135-131423-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-140415T1424Z/
/ROSM5.3.SM.140411T0550Z.140411T1115Z.140414T0824Z.NR/
924 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...ROSEAU...ON THE ROSEAU RIVER.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 18.2 FEET SOMETIME 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 18.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

ROSEAU RIVER
  ROSEAU            18.0   16.6   14.9   13.2   11.9   11.1   10.4


LAT...LON 4890 9615 4873 9567 4893 9565 4892 9610


$$

NDC099-120254-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140413T1200Z/
/MTON8.2.SM.140410T0405Z.140410T1500Z.140412T0110Z.NO/
924 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR...
* ...MINTO...ON THE FOREST RIVER.
* AT  8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  8:10 PM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 4.9 FEET BY SUNDAY 
  MID-MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 6.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. LEFT
  BANK FLOODING. BANKFULL STAGE.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

FOREST RIVER
  MINTO              5.1    4.6    4.4    4.1    3.6    3.2    2.8


LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716


$$

NDC099-131423-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140415T1500Z/
/GRNN8.2.SM.000000T0000Z.140412T1800Z.140414T0900Z.NO/
924 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...GRAFTON...ON THE PARK RIVER.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 14.0 FEET SOMETIME 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MONDAY MORNING.
* ADDITIONAL RISES POSSIBLE DUE TO HIGH ICE JAM POTENTIAL. THESE JAMS CAN 
  CAUSE FLUCTUATIONS AND RAPID RISES IN STAGE. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.0 FEET, FLOODING ON 100 BLOCK OF GRIGGS 
  AVENUE.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17  04/18

PARK RIVER
  GRAFTON           14.0   12.6   11.2   10.2    9.5    9.0    8.6


LAT...LON 4850 9749 4839 9750 4842 9716 4851 9715


$$
WJB 

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