2012 ended as the second warmest March on record, just behind 1910. The unseasonable warm temperatures have kick started spring with many trees and flowers in full bloom, some a month early. You may be wondering if after the warmest Marches in the past, can we expect the warmth to continue in April, May. Below are some statistics using the 136 years of data from North Platte about what happened after previous warm Marches. Included below is the odds of a freeze, which is nearly 100 percent, for more statistics about the odds of a late spring freeze see here. Of the top 10 warmest Marches, 1878 had the least amount of days - 6 (1 was in May) with temperatures falling to or below freezing over the following 6 weeks. The warmest March on record, 1910, saw 10 days in April fall to or below freezing. 1910 also recorded 2 days in the month of May when freezing temperatures were recorded. Of the 12 cold mornings of 1910, the coldest temperature recorded was 25 degrees on April 19. Also below are some statistics on where March 2012 ranks among other past Marches.
|
|
Warmest Marches based on
Average Max Temperature
Resulting April and May Conditions |
| Rank |
Year |
March
Average
Max T |
April
Average
Max T |
May
Average
Max T |
| 1 |
1910 |
69.8 |
68.6 |
66.9 |
| 2 |
2012 |
69.2 |
66.? |
? |
| 3 |
1918 |
61.7 |
52.9 |
75.6 |
| 4 |
2007 |
60.9 |
58.7 |
73.3 |
| 5 |
1911 |
60.7 |
59.9 |
72.5 |
| 6 |
1878 |
58.9 |
65.3 |
66.2 |
| 7 |
1994 |
58.9 |
62.5 |
77.1 |
| 8 |
1986 |
58.7 |
62.9 |
71.3 |
| 9 |
1945 |
58.7 |
57.3 |
68.7 |
| 10 |
1916 |
58.4 |
60.6 |
71.8 |
| 11 |
2004 |
58.3 |
64.4 |
76.3 |
| Average 136 yrs |
49.9 |
61.7 |
71.2 |
|
|
Total Number of Days ≤ 32º
For March, April and May
Ranking based on Average Max Temperature |
| Rank |
Year |
March
Total Days
≤ 32º |
April
Total Days
≤ 32º |
May
Total Days
≤ 32º |
| 1 |
1910 |
20 |
10 |
2 |
| 2 |
2012 |
18 |
9 |
? |
| 3 |
1918 |
21 |
15 |
0 |
| 4 |
2007 |
16 |
13 |
0 |
| 5 |
1911 |
23 |
17 |
3 |
| 6 |
1878 |
16 |
5 |
1 |
| 7 |
1994 |
28 |
16 |
1 |
| 8 |
1986 |
20 |
11 |
0 |
| 9 |
1945 |
16 |
13 |
3 |
| 10 |
1916 |
19 |
13 |
4 |
| 11 |
2004 |
25 |
13 |
2 |
| Average 136 yrs |
25.8 |
11.7 |
1.7 |
|
| |
Total Monthly Snowfall
For March, April, and May
Ranking based on Average Max Temperature |
| Rank |
Year |
March |
April |
May |
| 1 |
1910 |
2.2 |
T |
0 |
| 2 |
2012 |
T |
T (hail) |
? |
| 3 |
1918 |
0.6 |
5.4 |
0 |
| 4 |
2007 |
T |
4.9 |
0 |
| 5 |
1911 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
| 6 |
1878 |
M |
M |
M |
| 7 |
1994 |
0.4 |
11.5 |
0 |
| 8 |
1986 |
3.8 |
T |
0 |
| 9 |
1945 |
3.5 |
7.4 |
0 |
| 10 |
1916 |
2.1 |
0.3 |
0 |
| 11 |
2004 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
0 |
| Average 136 yrs |
6.0 |
2.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
Total Precipitation and (Precipitation Days)
For March, April and May
Ranking based on Average Max Temperature |
| Rank |
Year |
March |
April |
May |
| 1 |
1910 |
0.19 (5) |
0.48 (6) |
2.59 (14) |
| 2 |
2012 |
0.82 (5) |
3.68 (13) |
? |
| 3 |
1918 |
0.32 (7) |
2.51 (13) |
2.30 (12) |
| 4 |
2007 |
1.56 (6) |
4.12 (16) |
6.49 (16) |
| 5 |
1911 |
0.20 (4) |
2.48 (10) |
1.73 (13) |
| 6 |
1878 |
1.40 (10) |
1.15 (11) |
3.24 (14) |
| 7 |
1994 |
0.05 (7) |
1.47 (14) |
1.16 (11) |
| 8 |
1986 |
0.70 (12) |
3.37 (13) |
2.80 (15) |
| 9 |
1945 |
0.29 (10) |
2.01 (18) |
2.43 (21) |
| 10 |
1916 |
0.20 (5) |
0.72 (10) |
1.95 (12) |
| 11 |
2004 |
0.16 (11) |
1.90 (12) |
1.70 (20) |
| Average 136 yrs |
0.97 (12.0) |
2.10 (12.7) |
3.03 (15.3) |
|
| March Statistics for North Platte |
| |
Average
High |
Average
Low |
Average
Mean T |
Total
Precip |
Total
Snowfall* |
Days
<20 |
Days
<32 |
Days
60+ |
Days
70+ |
Average
137 yrs |
49.9 |
23.6 |
36.8 |
0.97 |
6.0 |
9.0 |
25.8 |
8.9 |
3.4 |
| Max |
69.8 |
32.7 |
51.0 |
4.37 |
27.8 |
25 |
31 |
26 |
6 |
| Year(s) |
1910 |
1878 |
1910 |
1949 |
1912 |
1965 |
2002,1984,
1971,1969 |
1910 |
2012 |
| Min |
33.0 |
12.0 |
23.2 |
0.04 |
T |
0 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| Year(s) |
1958 |
1965 |
1912 |
1882 |
1902,1903,
1914,2007,
2012 |
1878,1905,
1910,1973 |
1938 |
1912,1915,
1958 |
19 times |
| Summary of Last 6 Years during March and Ranking |
| |
Average
High |
Average
Low |
Average
Mean T |
Total
Precip |
Total
Snowfall* |
Days
<20 |
Days
<32 |
Days
60+ |
Days
70+ |
| 2007 |
60.9 |
31.4 |
46.2 |
1.56 |
T |
3 |
16 |
18 |
8 |
| Rank |
4th
Warmest |
5th
Warmest |
3rd
Warmest |
|
1st
(tie) Least |
2nd
Least |
6th
Least |
3rd
Most |
8th
Most |
| 2008 |
52.9 |
21.0 |
37.0 |
0.90 |
8.3 |
11 |
30 |
10 |
3 |
| Rank |
|
|
|
|
|
|
12th
(tie) Most |
|
|
| 2009 |
53.5 |
21.0 |
37.2 |
0.32 |
3.2 |
14 |
28 |
13 |
5 |
| Rank |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2010 |
52.7 |
27.2 |
39.9 |
2.26 |
3.8 |
3 |
25 |
8 |
4 |
| Rank |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2011 |
49.9 |
24.6 |
37.3 |
0.90 |
7.6 |
11 |
26 |
12 |
2 |
| Rank |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2012 |
69.2 |
30.4 |
49.8 |
0.82 |
T |
5 |
18 |
24 |
19 |
| Rank |
2nd
Warmest |
7th
Warmest |
2nd
Warmest |
|
1st
(tie) Least |
|
7th
Least |
2nd
Most |
1st
Most |
| *Snowfall record - 1893 to present |
|