2012-2013 Winter Outlook : Updated 11/15

The Climate Predication Center is forecasting a neutral or "La Nada" winter for the Upper Midwest (including southeast Minnesota, northeast Iowa, and western Wisconsin).  The winter is forecast to have:

  • Enhanced chances (33%) for below normal temperatures
  • Equal chances of above normal, normal, or below normal precipitation

Winter 2012-13 Outlook
Temperature Outlook Precipitation Outlook
Enhanced chances of below normal temperatures exist across parts of the Northern Plains into the Upper Midwest, with higher probabilities of above normal temperatures across much of the southwest and south central United States. Meanwhile, the majority of the East Coast has equal chances of above normal, normal, or below normal temperatures. The majority of the United States is forecast to have equal chances of above normal, normal, or below normal precipitation this winter. Portions of the mid-Mississippi River into the Tennessee River Valley has enhanced probabilities of above normal precipitation; however, higher probabilties of drier than normal conditions exist for parts of the West Coast, including southern Alaskan coast.

 

What is average for the area?

Normal Winter Temperatures (High / Low)

(In Fahrenheit; 1981-2010 Climate Normals)

  Rochester, Minnesota La Crosse, Wisconsin
December  27.1° / 12.2°  29.1° / 14.2°
January 23.6° / 7.7° 25.9° / 8.9°
February  28.1° / 12.4°  31.4° / 13.6°

 

Normal Winter Precipitation (Liquid)

(In Inches; 1981-2010 Climate Normals)

  Rochester, Minnesota La Crosse, Wisconsin
December  1.23"  1.36"
January  0.86"  1.12"
February  0.83"  1.05"
Total 2.92" 3.53"
 

Normal Winter Snowfall

(In Inches; 1981-2010 Climate Normals)

  Rochester, Minnesota La Crosse, Wisconsin
December  12.5"  11.3"
January  12.0" 10.7"
February  8.5"  8.2"
Total 33.0" 30.2"

 

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