Significant Storm Early Next Week

...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK...

ALTHOUGH THE RECENT WARM SPELL HAS ALLOWED SOME LOCAL RUNOFF INTO THE RIVER SYSTEM.  MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND THIS WILL ACCELERATE THE MELTING PROCESS.  THIS SHOULD CAUSE DAYTIME HIGHS TO CLIMB FROM THE MIDDLE 40S OVER THE NORTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY TO THE LOWER 50S ACROSS THE SOUTH.  MANY RURAL DRAINAGE CHANNELS...RIVERS AND STREAMS REMAIN CLOGGED WITH ICE IN THE RED RIVER VALLEY.

LOOK FOR ADDITIONAL OVERLAND MOVEMENT OF WATER WITH INCREASED PONDING IN LOW SPOTS AND CLOSURES OF SECONDARY ROADS.  ICE JAMS ARE POSSIBLE INTO NEXT WEEK AS LOCAL RUNOFF ENCOUNTERS THE THICK RIVER ICE.  THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK SHOULD SEE QUIET WEATHER WITH NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY. FLOOD FIGHTERS SHOULD MAKE MAXIMUM USE OF THIS PERIOD TO ACCELERATE DIKE PREPARATIONS.

THE POTENTIAL FOR A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM TO INFLUENCE THE REGION REMAINS IN THE FORECAST FOR LATE THIS COMING WEEKEND INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO DRAW WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS STATES. AS A RESULT...THIS SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS.  SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WILL AGGRAVATE FLOODING.

A WIDESPREAD AREA OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM.  AS THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES THROUGH...PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE FROM RAIN TO SNOW AS COLDER AIR IS DRAWN SOUTHWARD BY WEDNESDAY.  IF THIS STORM DEVELOPS AS CURRENTLY FORECAST...IT COULD HAVE A SUBSTANTIAL IMPACT ON AREA FLOODING ACROSS THE RED RIVER VALLEY AND THE DEVILS LAKE BASIN.  DUE TO THE STORM BEING SEVERAL DAYS AWAY...A SLIGHT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK COULD SHIFT THE AREA WHICH WOULD SEE THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION TOTALS. RESIDENTS IN THE RED RIVER VALLEY ARE ADVISED TO PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO LATER FORECASTS. YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND PROVIDE UPDATED STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS ON THIS DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM.



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