2013 Spring Flood Outlook #2 - Issued March 7th

PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1023 AM CST THU MAR 07 2013

...2013 SPRING FLOOD AND WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK NUMBER 2...

...POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING NEAR NORMAL ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS WITH MINOR FLOODING PROBABLE ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER...

THIS FLOOD OUTLOOK COVERS THE LINCOLN HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA /HSA/
WHICH ENCOMPASSES 35 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS. IT
INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...

-ILLINOIS RIVER FROM HENRY TO BEARDSTOWN
-SPOON RIVER FROM LONDON MILLS TO SEVILLE
-MACKINAW RIVER AT CONGERVILLE
-SANGAMON RIVER FROM MONTICELLO TO CHANDLERVILLE
-SALT CREEK AT GREENVIEW
-LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY
-EMBARRAS RIVER FROM STE MARIE TO LAWRENCEVILLE

THESE FLOOD OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED IN LATE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING...IN
ADDITION TO THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECASTS THAT ARE ISSUED WHEN RIVER
FORECAST LOCATIONS ARE IN FLOOD OR ARE FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE. THEY ARE BASED ON CURRENT STREAMFLOWS...SOIL CONDITIONS...SNOW
PACK...AS WELL AS SHORT/LONG RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS.

FLOOD OUTLOOK HIGHLIGHTS...

THE RISK OF FLOODING FROM LATE WINTER INTO EARLY SPRING IS OVERALL
NEAR NORMAL ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

WITH NEAR NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR FLOODING...THOSE LOCATIONS THAT
TYPICALLY FLOOD IN THE SPRING WILL LIKELY SEE NORMAL FLOODING
CONDITIONS IN THE COMING WEEKS.

BASED ON THE CURRENT PROBABILITIES...LOCATIONS ALONG THE ILLINOIS
RIVER HAVE A HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF EXPERIENCING AT LEAST MINOR
FLOODING THIS SPRING. THE OUTLOOK FOR THE EMBARRAS AND LITTLE WABASH
RIVERS SHOW HIGHER PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST MINOR FLOODING AS
WELL...WHICH IS NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

WINTER WEATHER REVIEW...

--DECEMBER--

INFORMATION COURTESY OF THE ILLINOIS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST SHOWS THAT
THE AVERAGE STATEWIDE PRECIPITATION FOR DECEMBER WAS 2.34 INCHES.
THIS IS 0.40 INCHES BELOW NORMAL...OR 85 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

ONE OF THE BIG STORIES FROM DECEMBER WAS THE STARK CONTRAST OF SNOW
TOTALS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS ILLINOS. HEAVY SNOW OF UP TO 18
INCHES FELL ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS WITH ALMOST NO SNOW ACCUMULATION
IN THE NORTH.

ACROSS THE ILX HSA...PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR DECEMBER WERE MIXED...
WITH LOCATIONS THAT WERE ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL VALUES. MONTHLY
PRECIPITATION TOTALS RANGED FROM 1.53 INCHES IN DANVILLE TO 4.50
INCHES IN PARIS. THESE TOTALS RANGED FROM 1.30 INCHES BELOW NORMAL TO
1.47 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY. THIS EQUATES TO
PRECIPITATION THAT RANGED FROM AROUND 50 TO 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

TEMPERATURES FOR DECEMBER WERE WELL ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS. MONTHLY
AVERAGES RANGED FROM 5 TO 8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. HIGH TEMPERATURES
RANGED FROM THE MID 20S TO THE LOW 70S. NORMAL HIGHS FOR THIS MONTH
RANGE FROM THE LOW 30S TO THE MID 40S. LOW TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM
THE TEENS TO THE MID 60S IN DECEMBER. THEY NORMALLY RANGE FROM THE
TEENS TO UPPER 20S.

--JANUARY--

THE AVERAGE STATEWIDE PRECIPITATION FOR JANUARY WAS 3.9 INCHES...1.9
INCHES ABOVE NORMAL. MOST OF THE STATE WAS IN THE 3 TO 6 INCH
RANGE...EXCEPT FOR SOME DRIER AREAS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN ILLINOIS.
IT WAS WETTEST IN SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS WITH SEVERAL LOCATIONS WITH
OVER 6 INCHES.

SNOWFALL FOR JANUARY WAS BELOW NORMAL AND RANGED FROM 6.5 INCHES IN
THE NORTHWEST CORNER TO ZERO IN FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. EVEN THOUGH
JANUARY FINISHED WITH BELOW NORMAL SNOWFALL...IT WAS OFFSET WITH
ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL IN MANY AREAS.

ACROSS THE ILX HSA...PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR JANUARY WERE ABOVE
NORMAL OVERALL...ESPECIALLY IN OUR SOUTHEAST. MONTHLY PRECIPITATION
TOTALS RANGED FROM 1.56 INCHES IN CLINTON TO 6.89 INCHES IN OLNEY.
THESE TOTALS RANGED FROM 0.50 INCHES BELOW NORMAL TO 3.84 INCHES
ABOVE NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY. THIS EQUATES TO PRECIPITATION THAT
RANGED FROM AROUND 75 TO 225 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

TEMPERATURES FOR JANUARY AVERAGED NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL. MONTHLY
AVERAGES REACHED UP TO 3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. HIGHS RANGED FROM THE
TEENS TO THE MID 60S. NORMAL HIGHS FOR THIS MONTH RANGE FROM THE LOW
TO MID 30S. LOW TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS TO THE MID
50S IN JANUARY. THEY NORMALLY RANGE IN THE TEENS.

--FEBRUARY--

ACROSS THE ILX HSA...PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR FEBRUARY WERE OVERALL
ABOVE NORMAL. MONTHLY LIQUID PRECIPITATION TOTALS RANGED FROM 2.01
INCHES IN CLINTON TO 3.53 INCHES IN HAVANA. THESE TOTALS RANGED FROM
0.16 INCHES BELOW NORMAL TO 1.43 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY.
THIS EQUATES TO PRECIPITATION THAT RANGED FROM AROUND 90 TO 170
PERCENT OF NORMAL.

FEBRUARY TEMPERATURES TRENDED NEAR NORMAL LEVELS OVERALL. HIGHS
RANGED FROM THE LOW 20S TO THE LOW 60S. NORMAL HIGHS FOR THIS MONTH
RANGE FROM THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. LOW TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO THE UPPER 30S. THEY NORMALLY RANGE FROM THE TEENS TO
UPPER 20S.


SOIL MOISTURE AND FROST DEPTH CONDITIONS...

AT THE END OF FEBRUARY SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL
ILLINOIS RANGED FROM THE 30TH TO THE 70TH PERCENTILE. HOWEVER...AREAS
IN THE SOUTHEAST WERE BEGINNING TO MOISTEN UP...PUSHING INTO THE 70TH
TO 80TH PERCENTILE RANGE. THAT TREND ONLY INCREASED FURTHER IN EARLY
MARCH. DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED SLIGHTLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...NOW BEING REMOVED FROM D0 (ABNORMALLY DRY)
CONDITIONS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE STATE...CONDITIONS HAVE REMAINED
UNCHANGED. THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR INDICATES NO DROUGHT CONDITIONS
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE ILLINOIS RIVER. THOSE LOCATIONS IN THE ILX HSA
THAT ARE NORTH OF THE ILLINOIS RIVER ARE UNDER D0 CONDITIONS. AS YOU
GO FURTHER NORTH AND WEST...CONDTIONS WORSEN SLIGHTLY TO D1...OR
MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

FROST DEPTH CONDITIONS VARY CONSIDERABLEY ACROSS THE HSA.
SOUTHERNMOST LOCATIONS HAVE FROST DEPTHS OF 0 TO 2 INCHES...WHILE
LOCATIONS IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 INCHES OF FROST
DEPTH.

RIVER CONDITIONS...

RIVER ICE IMPACTS HAVE BEEN MINIMAL ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS THIS WINTER. WITH THE LACK OF LONG DURATION COLD
SPELLS...RIVER ICE HAS NOT HAD THE OPPORTUNITY TO BECOME WELL
ESTABLISHED. DURING SHORTER DURATION COLD SNAPS...QUICK BUILD-UPS OF
ICE HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. HOWEVER...THEY HAVE QUICKLY DISSIPATED WITH
THE MODEST FLUCTUATIONS IN TEMPERATURE.

INFORMATION COURTESY OF THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY /USGS/...SHOWS
THAT STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS ACROSS A MAJORITY OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS ARE IN THE 25TH TO 75TH PERCENTILE...WHICH IS IN THE NORMAL
RANGE. HOWEVER...THERE ARE A FEW LOCATIONS WHOSE PERCENTILES ARE IN
THE BELOW NORMAL CATEGORY.

AS OF THIS SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK ISSUANCE...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS IN
THE ILX HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA THAT ARE ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

WEATHER OUTLOOKS...

THE WEATHER LOOKS TO BE WET FOR THE BETTER PART OF THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND. A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AND
BRING PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN. RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED
TO REACH UP TO ONE INCH IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF ILLINOIS WITH TOTALS
SLIGHTLY HIGHER ACROSS THE SOUTH.

TEMPERATURES LEADING UP TO THE RAIN WILL PUSH INTO THE 50S...
EFFECTIVELY MELTING THE SNOWPACK FROM THE LAST SNOW STORM. THIS WILL
SET THE STAGE FOR POTENTIAL FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS. WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK IN NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND
LIKELY RUNOFF DUE TO SNOWMELT AND RAIN...THE ILLINOIS RIVER HAS THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEEING RIVER LEVELS REACH AT LEAST MINOR FLOOD
STAGE.

THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK /MAR 14TH TO 20TH/ INDICATES GREATER THAN
40 PERCENT LIKELIHOOD FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS ILLINOIS.
NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
STATE...WHILE THE SOUTHERN HALF HAS GREATER THAN 33 PERCENT
LIKELIHOOD FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE 90 DAY OUTLOOK /MARCH...APRIL...MAY/ FOR ILLINOIS SHOWS A GREATER
THAN 40 PERCENT LIKELIHOOD FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THIS
TIME PERIOD. THE OUTLOOK ALSO SHOWS GREATER THAN 33 PERCENT
LIKELIHOOD FOR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS ILLINOIS...WITH
GREATER THAN 40 PERCENT ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE STATE.

FLOOD OUTLOOK SUMMARY...

OVERALL...NEAR NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR FLOODING EXIST ACROSS CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS. THE LIKELIHOOD FOR MINOR FLOODING IS HIGHEST
ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER AS WELL AS THE EMBARRAS AND LITTLE WABASH
RIVERS.

IN THE SHORT TERM...THE SNOWPACK ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS
ALONG WITH A QUICK WARM-UP AND RAINFALL THIS WEEKEND HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...WHICH IS NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

IN TABLE 1 BELOW...THE CURRENT (CS) AND HISTORICAL (HS) OR NORMAL
PROBABILITIES OF EXCEEDING MINOR...MODERATE...AND MAJOR FLOOD STAGES
ARE LISTED FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

CS VALUES INDICATE THE PROBABILITY OF REACHING A FLOOD CATEGORY
BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS.

HS VALUES INDICATE THE PROBABILITY OF REACHING A FLOOD CATEGORY
BASED ON HISTORICAL OR NORMAL CONDITIONS.

WHEN THE VALUE OF CS IS MORE THAN HS...THE PROBABILITY OF
EXCEEDING THAT LEVEL IS HIGHER THAN NORMAL. WHEN THE VALUE OF CS IS
LESS THAN HS...THE PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING THAT LEVEL IS LOWER
THAN NORMAL.


...TABLE 1--PROBABILITIES FOR MINOR...MODERATE AND MAJOR FLOODING...
                    VALID PERIOD:  3/11/2013 - 6/9/2013

                                       :    CURRENT AND HISTORICAL
                                       :     CHANCES OF EXCEEDING
                                       :       FLOOD CATEGORIES
                                       :      AS A PERCENTAGE (%)
                      CATEGORICAL      :
                   FLOOD STAGES (FT)   :   MINOR    MODERATE   MAJOR
LOCATION           MINOR   MOD   MAJOR :  CS   HS   CS   HS   CS   HS
--------           -----  -----  ----- : ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---
:ILLINOIS RIVER
HENRY               23.0   24.0   31.0 :  59   55   45   44   <5   <5
PEORIA              18.0   22.0   28.0 :  68   62   21   26   <5   <5
HAVANA              14.0   17.0   23.0 :  82   68   47   41   <5   <5
BEARDSTOWN          14.0   18.0   28.0 : >95   78   60   50   <5   <5
:MACKINAW RIVER
CONGERVILLE         13.0   14.0   20.0 :  19   21   16   14   <5   <5
:SPOON RIVER
LONDON MILLS        15.0   21.0   24.0 :  67   49   27   24   <5   <5
SEVILLE             22.0   25.0   30.0 :  41   41   24   18   <5   <5
:SANGAMON RIVER
MONTICELLO          13.0   17.0   20.0 :  63   65    6    8   <5   <5
RIVERTON            23.0   26.0   29.0 :  11   11    6   <5   <5   <5
PETERSBURG          23.0   24.0   33.0 :  19   19   16   16   <5   <5
:SALT CREEK
GREENVIEW           16.0   17.0   20.0 :  14   16   14   14    8    8
:SANGAMON RIVER
OAKFORD            471.0  472.9  478.5 :  23   24   16   16   <5   <5
CHANDLERVILLE      456.6  459.0  462.0 :  36   42   19   18   <5   <5
:LITTLE WABASH RIVER
CLAY CITY           18.0   22.0   25.0 :  91   91   10    9   <5   <5
:VERMILION RIVER
DANVILLE            18.0   22.0   28.0 :  21   21   11   11   <5   <5
:EMBARRAS RIVER
LAWRENCEVILLE       30.0   37.0   41.0 :  76   74   13   12   <5   <5
STE MARIE           19.0   20.0   27.0 :  32   30   22   23   <5   <5

LEGEND
CS = CONDITIONAL SIMULATION (CURRENT OUTLOOK)
HS = HISTORICAL SIMULATION
FT = FEET

IN TABLE 2 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE
PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID
TIME PERIOD.

...TABLE 2--EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

                               CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES
                                  AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
                          VALID PERIOD: 3/11/2013 - 6/9/2013
LOCATION              95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%     5%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
:ILLINOIS RIVER
HENRY                18.4   19.0   20.7   23.4   25.2   26.5   27.1
PEORIA               13.9   14.8   16.7   20.0   21.9   22.9   23.6
HAVANA               13.1   13.4   14.9   16.8   18.5   20.2   20.8
BEARDSTOWN           14.4   14.4   16.6   20.0   23.4   25.6   26.7
:MACKINAW RIVER
CONGERVILLE           5.9    6.5    7.6   10.2   12.4   16.2   16.8
:SPOON RIVER
LONDON MILLS         14.0   14.2   14.5   16.5   21.2   23.7   25.4
SEVILLE              17.5   17.7   18.3   20.8   24.9   27.1   29.0
:SANGAMON RIVER
MONTICELLO           11.6   11.9   12.5   13.8   15.3   16.5   18.2
RIVERTON             14.5   14.6   16.4   18.6   21.7   23.5   27.1
PETERSBURG           12.4   12.4   13.7   16.3   21.4   25.8   30.6
:SALT CREEK
GREENVIEW             6.8    7.4    8.9   11.2   13.8   18.5   21.5
:SANGAMON RIVER
OAKFORD             464.1  464.2  465.0  468.3  470.9  473.8  475.4
CHANDLERVILLE       452.0  452.1  452.9  456.2  458.3  460.4  461.7
:LITTLE WABASH RIVER
CLAY CITY            14.3   16.6   19.3   20.3   21.1   22.0   24.4
:VERMILION RIVER
DANVILLE              8.1    9.2   11.5   14.4   16.7   22.7   24.5
:EMBARRAS RIVER
LAWRENCEVILLE        25.6   27.2   30.3   32.7   34.7   37.6   39.5
STE MARIE             9.7   10.0   13.8   17.5   19.7   21.7   22.7

IN TABLE 3 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE
PROBABILITY OF FALLING BELOW THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE
VALID TIME PERIOD.

...TABLE 3--NONEXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

                            CHANCE OF FALLING BELOW STAGES
                                 AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
                          VALID PERIOD: 3/11/2013 - 6/9/2013
LOCATION              95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%     5%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
:ILLINOIS RIVER
HENRY                15.2   15.1   14.9   14.8   14.6   14.4   14.2
PEORIA               12.3   12.3   12.1   11.9   10.6   10.6   10.5
HAVANA                7.3    7.1    6.3    5.7    5.0    4.9    4.8
BEARDSTOWN           10.6   10.5   10.1    9.9    9.5    9.3    9.1
:MACKINAW RIVER
CONGERVILLE           2.0    1.7    1.5    1.4    1.2    1.1    1.0
:SPOON RIVER
LONDON MILLS          3.9    3.7    3.5    3.2    2.9    2.6    2.5
SEVILLE               7.2    7.0    6.7    6.3    5.9    5.6    5.4
:SANGAMON RIVER
MONTICELLO            6.9    6.7    6.4    6.1    5.6    5.4    5.2
RIVERTON              6.8    6.1    5.2    4.5    4.0    3.5    3.3
PETERSBURG            7.8    7.2    6.5    6.0    5.5    5.3    5.2
:SALT CREEK
GREENVIEW             2.4    2.1    1.9    1.6    1.4    1.1    1.0
:SANGAMON RIVER
OAKFORD             458.9  458.2  457.7  457.3  456.9  456.6  456.4
CHANDLERVILLE       446.4  445.6  445.0  444.7  444.1  443.9  443.8

THESE LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS CONTAIN FORECAST VALUES THAT
ARE CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SEASON SCENARIOS FROM 30 OR MORE YEARS
OF CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA...INCLUDING CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE
RIVER...SOIL MOISTURE...SNOW COVER...AND 30 TO 90 DAY LONG-RANGE
OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION. BY PROVIDING A RANGE OF
PROBABILITIES...THE LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG-RANGE PLANNING
DECISIONS CAN BE DETERMINED. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT HYDROLOGIC
CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY DURING THE LATE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING
WHICH MAY ALTER THE PROBABILITIES FOR FLOODING. THESE PROBABILISTIC
FORECASTS ARE PART OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE`S ADVANCED
HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE.

---------------------------------------------------------------------

FLOOD TERMINOLOGY...

MINOR FLOODING IS USED TO INDICATE MINIMAL OR NO PROPERTY DAMAGE.
HOWEVER...SOME PUBLIC INCONVENIENCE IS POSSIBLE.

MODERATE FLOODING IS USED TO INDICATE SOME INUNDATION OF STRUCTURES
AND ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. TRANSFER OF PROPERTY TO A HIGHER ELEVATION
OR ANOTHER LOCATION MAY BE NECESSARY. SOME EVACUATIONS MAY ALSO BE
REQUIRED.

MAJOR FLOODING IS USED TO INDICATE EXTENSIVE INUNDATION AND PROPERTY
DAMAGE...USUALLY CHARACTERIZED BY THE EVACUATION OF PEOPLE AND
LIVESTOCK AND CLOSURE OF BOTH PRIMARY AND SECONDARY ROADS.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...

VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX FOR MORE OFFICIAL
NWS RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION. TO VIEW GRAPHICAL AHPS
INFORMATION...INCLUDING FORECASTS...SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES FROM THE
LIST ON THE LEFT SIDE MENU. FULL AHPS GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE FOR ALL
FORECAST POINTS IN THE ILX HSA.

FOR 30 TO 90 DAY TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS...VISIT THE
WEB PAGE OF THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER AT HTTP://WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ISSUANCE OF THE SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK UNLESS
CONDITIONS WARRANT AN UPDATE. THE NOAA NATIONAL SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK
WILL BE ISSUED ON THURSDAY...MARCH 21ST. NATIONAL FLOOD AWARENESS
WEEK IS MARCH 18TH TO 22ND.



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