Severe Thunderstorm and Flash Flooding Threat Monday and Monday Night

...SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN LIKELY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
AREA. AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT, A VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG LOW AND MID LEVEL WINDS. THIS PATTERN WILL SET THE STAGE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM THREAT LIKELY WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS, HOWEVER A FEW TORNADOES ALSO WILL BE POSSIBLE.

ALONG WITH THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS, HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A POSSIBILITY AS WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS APPEAR LIKELY. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS ABOVE 3 INCHES CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN AREAS THAT SEE REPEATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MONDAYAND MONDAY NIGHT.

MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST UPDATES OVER THE WEEKEND AS MINOR CHANGES IN THE FORECAST TRACK OF THE SYSTEM COULD ALTER THE IMPACT
AND TIMING OF THE EVENT.

Below is the Storm Prediction Center 4 to 8 day severe weather outlook. As you can see, the Ohio Valley is solidly outlooked for Monday and Monday night.

Below is the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center forecast rainfall. Widespread 2 to 3 inch rainfall amounts are expected Monday morning through Tuesday morning.



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