Low pressure over southeast Illinois early this afternoon will move northeast along a warm front and into Ohio by this evening. The low will sweep a cold front across central Kentucky and southern Indiana this afternoon and early evening. Along and ahead of the front, scatterred to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms are expected.
Instability ahead of the front will be limited this afternoon. However, strong wind fields exist just above the surface to around 5000 feet above the surface. If any thunderstorms form this afternoon, they could tap some of these strong winds above the ground and transport them to the surface resulting in isolated wind damage. Otherwise, any storms will produce brief heavy rainfall, which could cause local, temporary flooding.
Outside of any thunderstorms, south to southwest winds will gust to around 30 mph this afternoon ahead of the cold front. The front will move through the area this evening, bringing in cooler weather and an end to any thunderstorms.
Residents of south-central Indiana and central Kentucky should remain aware of the latest forecasts and for any storm development this afternoon.