Latest on severe storm threat for Sunday night/Monday

 

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

             
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WWUS83 KPAH 290125
SPSPAH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
825 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

ILZ084-088-092-093-KYZ001>006-009-MOZ076-087-111-112-290315-
JACKSON-UNION IL-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-
BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-CALLOWAY-PERRY MO-CAPE GIRARDEAU-SCOTT-
MISSISSIPPI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARBONDALE...JONESBORO...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...
MAYFIELD...MURRAY...PERRYVILLE...CAPE GIRARDEAU...SIKESTON...
CHARLESTON
825 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

...SLOWLY DECREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH 10 PM CDT...

A BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE AND
DEVELOP TO THE SOUTHWEST BETWEEN 20 TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING. THE
RAIN WAS MOVING OVER PARTS OF THE PURCHASE AREA OF WEST KENTUCKY
AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

ANYWHERE FROM A HALF HOUR TO AN HOUR AHEAD OF THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...A LINE OF GUSTY WINDS RANGING FROM 25 MPH TO
LOCALLY 50 MPH WAS NOTED EARLY THIS EVENING.

AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES...BOTH THE WIND GUSTS AND FORWARD
MOVEMENT OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE.

SOME LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE PURCHASE AREA OF WEST
KENTUCKY...MAY RECEIVE THREE QUARTERS TO LOCALLY ONE AND A
QUARTER INCHES OF RAIN...BEFORE THE RAIN LESSENS IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY.

GIVEN THE WET GROUND AND OTHER FACTORS...SOME TREES AND TREE
LIMBS MAY TOPPLE DUE TO THE GUSTY WINDS.

DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL STILL BE A FACTOR...SO STAY INDOORS UNTIL
THE STORMS HAVE WELL MOVED AWAY FROM YOUR AREA.

THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY SLOW DOWN AND STALL
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST KENTUCKY NEAR THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER BEFORE 10 AM CDT.

$$

SMITH

 

Click on thumbnail images (below) to go to the Storm Prediction Center's severe storm outlooks for days 2 and 3.

Latest day 2 outlook from the Storm Prediction CenterStorm Prediction Center day 3 outlook

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1240 PM CST SAT FEB 26 2011

...TORNADO THREAT SUNDAY NIGHT CAUSES MUCH CONCERN GIVEN STATISTICS
RELATED TO NIGHTTIME TORNADO CASUALTIES...

OUR REGION HAS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS... INCLUDING
TORNADOES...SUNDAY NIGHT.

RESEARCH CONDUCTED BOTH ON A REGIONAL AND NATIONAL LEVEL DOCUMENT
THE INCREASED HAZARDS RELATED TO TORNADOES THAT OCCUR AT NIGHT. ON
THE NATIONAL LEVEL...THE FOLLOWING FINDINGS WERE DERIVED FROM
RESEARCH CONDUCTED BY NORTHERN ILLINOIS UNIVERSITY; 1.THE PUBLIC IS
LESS LIKELY TO RECEIVE WARNINGS ISSUED AT NIGHT, 2.THE PUBLIC IS
MORE LIKELY TO BE IN MORE VULNERABLE HOUSING AND BUILDING STRUCTURES
AT NIGHT, 3.MOBILE HOMES ARE THE LEADING LOCATION FOR TORNADO
FATALITIES, 4.TORNADO FATALITIES ARE ENHANCED DURING THE LATE FALL
AND WINTER, 5.NIGHTTIME TORNADOES ARE TWICE AS LIKELY TO KILL AS
DAYTIME TORNADOES, AND 6.OUR REGION HAS AMONG THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
OF NIGHTTIME TORNADOES AND NIGHTTIME TORNADO FATALITIES OF ANYWHERE
IN THE U.S.

IN THE QUAD STATE REGION OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY...34 OF THE 38 TORNADO
FATALITIES SINCE 1996 HAVE OCCURRED AT NIGHT WITH 29 OF THE 38
OCCURRING BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE. THIRTY OF THE 38 TORNADO
FATALITIES WERE IN MOBILE HOMES...WITH 4 IN VEHICLES AND 2 IN
PERMANENT HOMES.

DURING THE LAST DECADE...THE LOWER OHIO/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
INCLUDING MUCH OF OUR FOUR STATE REGION...HAD AMONG THE HIGHEST
FREQUENCY OF STRONG AND VIOLENT TORNADOES. SEVERAL OF THESE STRONG
TO VIOLENT AND DEADLY TORNADOES HAVE OCCURRED DURING THE FALL AND
WINTER...A TIME OF YEAR MANY IN OUR AREA DO NOT ASSOCIATE WITH
SEVERE WEATHER. BEING READY FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT JUST FOR THE
SPRING SEASON.

TORNADOES AND OTHER FORMS OF SEVERE WEATHER CAN HAPPEN YEAR ROUND...
DAY OR NIGHT. MANY OF THE TORNADOES THAT FORM DURING THE FALL AND
WINTER DO SO DURING THE NIGHT.

STAY ABREAST OF THE LATEST WEATHER FORECASTS AND BE SURE YOUR HAVE A
NOAA WEATHER RADIO WITH ALERT CAPABILITY AND/OR OTHER MEANS SUCH AS
CELL PHONE ALERTS TO RECEIVE WARNINGS. HAVING A MEANS TO RECEIVE
WARNINGS COULD SAVE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIFE OF A LOVED ONE.


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