...Drought Conditions Improving...

Latest Drought Information Statement



...DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO IMPROVE OVER MUCH OF THE
MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL AND SNOW...

SYNOPSIS...
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS DURING THE PAST TWO WEEKS...COMBINED WITH PRECIPITATION OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY...HAVE HELPED TO IMPROVE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.

THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR FROM THE DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER...

ISSUED ON MARCH 12TH...SHOWED AREAL COVERAGE OF SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAD BEEN REDUCED TO ONLY ACROSS EXTREME WESTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXTENDED EASTWARD ONLY A CASSVILLE TO ELDORADO SPRINGS LINE. TO THE EAST OF THIS LINE...THE AREA WAS CLASSIFIED AS ABNORMALLY DRY. EAST OF A WEST PLAINS TO WAYNESVILLE LINE...NO DROUGHT OR ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS
WERE OBSERVED.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
BENTON...CAMDEN...DADE...DOUGLAS...HICKORY...HOWELL...LACLEDE...
MILLER...MORGAN...OZARK..CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DALLAS...GREENE...
POLK...ST. CLAIR...STONE...TANEY...WEBSTER...AND WRIGHT.

MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
BARRY...LAWRENCE...MCDONALD...AND NEWTON.

SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN MISSOURI:
BARTON...JASPER...AND VERNON.

IN KANSAS:
BOURBON...CRAWFORD AND CHEROKEE.

.CLIMATE SUMMARY...
PRECIPITATION TRENDS THROUGH THE LAST 30 DAYS SHOWED THAT
ACCUMULATIONS OF THREE TO SIX INCHES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

DURING THE LAST 60 DAYS ENDING MARCH 14TH...PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION RANGED BETWEEN 50 AND 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL...WITH ISOLATED LOCATIONS ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI SHOWING ACCUMULATIONS OVER 200 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION WERE ABOVE NORMAL IN JANUARY 2013 AND NEAR NORMAL THROUGH FEBRUARY 2013.

.PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...
THE 30 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK THROUGH MARCH FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) INDICATES EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. THE 30 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK SHOWS EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW AND NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

THE 90 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY SHOWS EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW AND NORMAL PRECIPITATION....AND ENHANCED POSSIBILITIES OF WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

THE OUTLOOKS ARE HEAVILY BASED ON NORMAL CLIMATOLOGICAL TRENDS AS A RESULT OF AN EXPECTED NEUTRAL ENSO PATTERN THROUGH THE SPRING OF 2013.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
AREA STREAM FLOWS WERE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI HAD STREAM FLOWS ABOVE THE 90TH PERCENTILE OF NORMAL VALUES.

LAKE LEVELS ACROSS THE REGION ROSE BY ONE TO THREE FEET AT THE END OF FEBRUARY AND THEN ROSE ANOTHER ONE TO TWO FEET AFTER HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE 11TH. TRUMAN LAKE AND POMME DE TERRE ARE CURRENTLY USING SEVEN TO 13 PERCENT OF THE FLOOD CONTROL POOL... WHILE STOCKTON AND LAKE OF THE OZARKS ARE AT AROUND 90 PERCENT OF THEIR CONSERVATION POOLS. LAKES ALONG AND NEAR THE WHITE RIVER...
INCLUDING TABLE ROCK...BULL SHOALS AND NORFORK...LAKE LEVELS
CURRENTLY OCCUPY 80 TO 90 PERCENT OF THEIR CONSERVATION POOLS.

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS...
CALCULATED SOIL MOISTURE ANOMALIES FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER FOR MARCH 13TH SHOWED SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL MOISTURE LEVELS OVER SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS WITH NEAR NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE OVER THE EASTERN MISSOURI OZARKS.

WATER TABLE DATA FROM THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY SHOWED GROUND WATER LEVELS AT OR BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION. MOST LOCATIONS SHOWED RISES OF FIVE TO 10 FEET OVER THE PAST WEEK.

DROUGHT INDICES...
THE LATEST SHORT TERM PALMER Z INDEX ISSUED IN JANUARY 2013 SHOWED VALUES OF +1.00 TO +2.49....INDICATING MODERATELY MOIST SOIL CONDITIONS FOR THE ENTIRE REGION.

THE LONG TERM PALMER DROUGHT INDEX...ISSUED MARCH 9TH.. SHOWED VALUES OF -1.9 TO +1.9...INDICATING NO DROUGHT OVER THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
USDA CROP REPORTS HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED DURING THE WINTER OR NON GROWING SEASON AND WILL LIKELY BE AVAILABLE WITH THE NEXT ISSUANCE OF THIS OUTLOOK.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...
WINDY CONDITIONS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE REGION....LEADING TO REDUCED FUEL STICK MOISTURE.

10-HOUR FUEL STICK MOISTURE - 7-8 PERCENT
100 HOUR FUEL STICK MOISTURE - 11 TO 15 PERCENT
1000-HOUR FUEL STICK MOISTURE - 16 TO 20 PERCENT

NOTE...FUEL STICK MOISTURE IS A MEASURE OF THE MOISTURE CONTAINED IN DEAD VEGETATION OF DIFFERING DIAMETERS WITH 10 HOURS FUELS UP TO AN INCH AND 1000 HOUR FUELS FROM 3 TO 8 INCHES IN DIAMETER.

THE KBDI INDEX ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION WAS IN THE VERY LOW FIRE POTENTIAL RANGE. READINGS LESS THAN 200 WERE COMMON ACROSS THE AREA.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE TOWARD THE END OF MARCH OR IN EARLY APRIL.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

TO REPORT THE EFFECTS OF DROUGHT IN YOUR AREA PLEASE GO TO... HTTP://DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU/

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/
MIDWEST REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...HTTP://MCC.SWS.UIUC.EDU/INDEX.JSP
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NOAA.NOAA.GOV/
USDA...
HTTP://WWW.NASS.USDA.GOV/PUBLICATIONS/STATE_CROP_PROGRESS_AND_CONDITI
ON/INDEX.ASP
USFS...HTTP://WWW.WFAS.NET
MISSOURI DNR...HTTP://WWW.DNR.MO.GOV/ENV/WRC/DROUGHTUPDATE.HTM

KANSAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST...HTTP://WWW.KSRE.KSU.EDU/WDL/
MISSOURI STATE CLIMATOLOGIST...HTTP://CLIMATE.MISSOURI.EDU

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/WATERWATCH
USACE...HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/

INFORMATION FOR THE MEDIA MAY BE FOUND AT...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/NEWSOUTREACH/INFORMATIONFORMEDIA.ASPX

.QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT PLEASE CONTACT:

GENE HATCH
CLIMATE SERVICES FOCAL POINT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI
GENE.HATCH@NOAA.GOV

 

 

 



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