Severe Weather Tuesday June 1, 2010

Severe Weather Expected Tuesday June 1, 2010

** Video Briefing (Not Current) **

Expected Weather:  Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms may develop over northern Kansas this afternoon.  While there is uncertainty regarding thunderstorm development due to an increasingly strong cap any storms that do develop will be capable of producing large hail to the size of golf balls, damaging winds to 70 mph, as well as a low end threat for tornadoes. The best chance for severe thunderstorms will be near the Nebraska border but once again there is uncertainty in terms of whether or not development will occur further south in Kansas.

Timing:  The strongest thunderstorms are expected to inititate this afternoon between the hours of 4 pm to 7 pm, especially north of the Kansas/Nebraska border. Storm development over northeast Kansas probably will not occur until later in the evening. Thunderstorms are expected to continue into the evening and overnight. Again, the best chance for thunderstorms tonight will be along Highway 36 just south of the Kansas/Nebraska border.

Tornadic Threat: The probability of northeast Kansas experiencing a tornado this evening is slim, however a tornadic threat is still possible, especially before and just after sunset.  The highest threat for tornadoes exists north of the Kansas/Nebraska border and into southwestern Iowa.

Damaging Wind Threat:  Damaging winds to 70 mph are possible with the strongest storms. 

Hail Threat:  The highest threat for large hail to the size of golfballs lies just along the northern-most tier of northeastern Kansas counties and furthern north into eastern Nebraska.  Although hail larger than golfballs is possible, it is not likely that these storms will produce larger than golfball sized hail.

Impacts:   The highest threat for severe weather this evening lies along and north of the northern-most tier of northeastern Kansas counties.  Travel throughout northeast Kansas, northwest Missouri, southeast Nebraska, and southwest Iowa could be exceedingly hazardous.  Be prepared for strong thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and hail, and possibly a strong tornado.

You can follow our latest (slightly more technical) thinking on the forecast by viewing our Area Forecast Discussion or by visiting any of the links below. 

 Click on the links below for more information 

Weather Story
Weather Story of the Day - Click to enlarge
Most Recent Video Briefing
NWS Video Weather Briefing- Click to enlarge
SPC Day 1
OutlookStorm Prediction Center Day 1 Outlook- Click to enlarge

SPC Day 2
OutlookStorm Prediction Center Day 2 Outlook- Click to enlarge

SPC Day 3
OutlookStorm Prediction Center Day 3 Outlook- Click to enlarge

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Topeka Area Hazardous Weather Outlook- Click to enlarge
Local Radar for Topeka, KS - Click to enlarge
Most Recent Local Storm Reports
Most Recent Storm Reports- Click to enlarge
Graphical Forecast
Graphical Interactive Forecast for the Central Plains- Click to enlarge
Precipitation Forecasts
HPC Precipitation Forecasts- Click to enlarge


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