New AHPS Probabilistic forecast points

Service Change Notice
National Weather Service Topeka KS
908 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2013
To:       Subscribers:
          -Family of Services
          -NOAA Weather Wire Service
          -Emergency Managers Weather Information Network
          Other NWS partners and NWS employees
From:     John Woynick
          Hydrologic Program Manager
          WFO Topeka, KS
Subject: Addition of probabilistic forecasts to river forecasts in
          north central, northeast and east central Kansas
          September 24,2013
Beginning 24 September 2013, WFO Topeka will implement AHPS
probabilistic forecasts for the Saline River at Tescott; the Salt
Creek near Ada; the Smoky Hill River near Abilene, Enterprise and
Junction City; the Solomon River at Glasco, Minneapolis and Niles;
the Kansas River near Belvue, Ft. Riley, Manhattan, Wamego, Topeka,
Lecompton and Lawrence; the Wakarusa River near Lawrence, KS.
Advance Hydrologic Prediction Service or AHPS is the modernization
of hydrologic services to improve flood forecasts and water
resources information. Graphical information is available on the
Internet at under the Forecast tab then click
on Rivers and Lakes.
Additionally, a Hydrologic Outlook text product, category ESF, will
be issued at the end of each month with probabilistic forecasts for
these new sites and for existing probabilistic forecast points.
Information provided on the Internet includes:
    - Graphs showing current and forecast river levels.
    - Graphs showing chances or probabilities of exceeding
      certain levels, flow and volume.
    - Impact information which is a description of what happens
      when the water reaches certain levels.
    - A map and sometimes photographs showing the location of the
The National Weather Service welcomes public feedback. If you have
any questions or comments on the change, please contact:
      John Woynick
      Hydrologic Program Manager
      National Weather Service Forecast Office
      1116 NE Strait Ave, Topeka, KS 66616
      Phone: 785-232-1493

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