Winter Weather Update 

  

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

             
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FLUS43 KPAH 192014
HWOPAH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
314 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-202015-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
314 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A MORE OR LESS DAILY CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS...INCLUDING STRONG AND
POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS...WILL BE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...MAINLY
OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE QUAD STATE REGION. THE BIGGEST THREATS
WITH ANY STORMS THAT DO BECOME SEVERE WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL...HOWEVER A TORNADO OR TWO WILL NOT BE OUT OF THE
QUESTION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

$$

JP

D

LOCAL ROAD AND WEATHER INFORMATION

Winter Storm Warnings, Watches, and Advisories Hazardous Weather Outlook
Special Weather Statement Short Term Forecast 
Public Info. Statement (snowfall report summaries) Local Storm Reports (snowfall reports)
Area Forecast Discussion 
*Forecast graphics, including snowfall amounts*  

ROAD CONDITION LINKS

LATEST WEATHER OBSERVATIONS

 

NATIONAL MAPS

Watch/Warning/Advisory Map (click for full size)

Freezing Rain Probability Forecasts

The following charts depict the probability of freezing rain reaching
or exceeding .25 inches. Forecasts from the HPC. Click on a thumbnail to enlarge.


Day 1 probability of freezing rain greater than or equal to .25 inch.
Day 1		 Day 2 probability of freezing rain greater than or equal to .25 inch.
Day 2		 Day 3 probability of freezing rain greater than or equal to .25 inch.
Day 3

Snowfall Probability Forecasts

The following charts depict the probability of snowfall reaching
or exceeding 4, 8 and 12 inches. Forecasts from the HPC. Click on a thumbnail to enlarge.

≥ 4 inches ≥ 8 inches ≥ 12 inches
Probability of snowfall greater than or equal to 4 inches
Day 1		 Probability of snowfall greater than or equal to 8 inches
Day 1		 Probability of snowfall greater than or equal to 12 inches
Day 1
Probability of snowfall greater than or equal to 4 inches
Day 2		 Probability of snowfall greater than or equal to 8 inches
Day 2		 Probability of snowfall greater than or equal to 12 inches
Day 2
Probability of snowfall greater than or equal to 4 inches
Day 3		 Probability of snowfall greater than or equal to 8 inches
Day 3		 Probability of snowfall greater than or equal to 12 inches
Day 3

Criteria for issuance of winter weather products used at WFO Paducah
  • Winter Weather Advisory  - Issued when any combination of snow, sleet, and/or freezing rain results (or is expected to result) in hazardous conditions, but not in sufficient quantity to meet Winter Storm Warning criteria. If precipitation is all snow, issued whenever 2 inches or more is forecast. For the first snow event of the season, an advisory may be issued for as little as an inch.  Usually issued for the first 24 hours of the forecast.
  • Freezing Rain Advisory -  Issued when a light glaze of freezing rain is expected to produce hazardous conditions. Glaze thickness is forecast to be less than one-quarter inch.
  • Winter Storm Watch - Issued when conditions may reach winter storm warning criteria in the next 24 to 60 hours. Provides advance notice to the public of potentially significant winter weather.  
  • Winter Storm Warning - Issued when any combination of snow, sleet, and/or freezing rain is expected to fall in sufficient quantity to become a significant event, causing major travel disruptions. For heavy snow, accumulations are expected to be at least 4 inches in a 12-hour period or 6 inches in a 24-hour period. For sleet, at least one-half inch is expected. Usually issued for the first 24 hours of the forecast.
  • Ice Storm Warning - Issued when precipitation is expected to fall mainly as freezing rain, producing ice coatings at least one quarter inch thick. Power lines and trees may be damaged, and travel may become extremely hazardous.
  • Blizzard Warning - Issued when the following conditions are expected to prevail for at least 3 hours: Sustained wind or frequent gusts to at least 35 MPH, and considerable falling or blowing snow reducing visibility to 1/4 mile or less.
  • Wind Chill Advisory - Issued when wind chill temperatures are forecast to be minus 10 degrees to minus 25 degrees. 
  • Wind Chill Warning - Issued when wind chill temperatures are forecast to be minus 25 degrees or colder.
Reviews of Past Winter Storms in Our Region

Historic Ice Storm on Jan. 26-28, 2009
Major Ice Storm on Feb 11, 2008 March 7-8, 2008 snowstorm
Record Snowstorm on Dec 22, 2004 (1-2 feet) Sleet storm on Feb. 16, 2003
Heavy snow on Feb. 23, 2003 (SW Indiana and vicinity) Extreme cold in January, 2003
Winter Storm on Christmas Eve, 2002 (Southern IL) Heavy snow on Jan. 16, 2003
Links to Help Plan and Prepare for Winter Hazards

 

Historical snowfall information (climatological data)

 

 

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