Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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000
FNUS73 KLSX 041957
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARTY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
257 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1436 CDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS WEEK WITH SOUTHERLY
FLOW. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AT THE BURN SITE WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW.


.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........AROUND 82.
RH..................37 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH AROUND 3 TO 5 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (15837 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........AROUND 59.
RH..................89 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH LESS THAN 5 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........AROUND 82.
RH..................NEAR 40 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH LESS THAN 5 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 21 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (20330 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...MILLER
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG GILBERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150504.CARTY.02/LSX






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