Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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000
FNUS71 KLWX 271245
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS...USDI - NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
845 AM EDT MON APR 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL MOVE INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC TODAY...BRINGING A LOW CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....LOW 50S.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH...DIMINISHING TO
                    AROUND 8 MPH LATE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (600-42600 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING
                    TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (55500-64400 KNOT-FT) LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)       11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)..........34     44     44     37
WEATHER COV......
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............44     48     51     52
RH...............73     60     52     52
20 FT WIND.......N 11   N 9    N 7    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST..14     11            7
CWR..............10     10     10     10
VRATE KT-FT/1000.59     63     59     56

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....LOW 40S.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (6500-52700 KNOT-FT)...DECREASING
                    TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)       6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..........31     33     34     38     43     44
WEATHER COV......
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............52     49     46     44     42     41
RH...............52     61     68     73     79     85
20 FT WIND.......N 6    N 5    N 5    N 5    N 5    N 4
20 FT WIND GUST..7      7      7      7      7
CWR..............0      0      0      10     10     10
VRATE KT-FT/1000.53     37     7      0      0      0

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....UPPER 50S.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.

TIME (EDT)       6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)..........42  41  42  43  46  50  55  60  65  69  73  76
WEATHER COV......
WEATHER TYPE.....
TEMP.............41  41  43  46  50  54  56  57  58  59  59  59
RH...............89  89  86  76  66  57  53  53  47  45  47  47
20 FT WIND DIR...NW  NW  NW  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD...3   3   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST..4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
CWR..............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
VRATE KT-FT/1000.M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
FORECASTER...SEARS/MSE
REQUESTED BY...MATT WAY JANE HULSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150428.BIGME.01/LWX


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