Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 270951
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HANCOCK NORTH...NC STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
551 AM EDT MON APR 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH
TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO KEEP THE SEABREEZE PINNED
NEAR THE COAST AND A WIND SHIFT IS NOT ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE BURN
AREA AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............18     17     23     25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59     65     68     70
RH..................57     43     37     35
20 FT WIND..........NW 5   NW 5   NW 5   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     15
LVORI...............2      2      1      1
ADI.................19     26     50     57
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............25     22     16     13     10     7
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................68     61     55     51     49     48
RH..................37     48     64     74     77     74
20 FT WIND..........NW 7   NW 6   NW 5   NW 5   N 5    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     10     10                   10
LVORI...............1      2      3      3      4      3
ADI.................62     12     6      5      6      6
HAINES INDEX........5      4      5      5      5      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............6      3      7      16     22     28
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................48     48     58     64     67     66
RH..................71     74     51     41     37     42
20 FT WIND..........N 5    N 5    N 7    N 6    N 6    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10            10     10     10
LVORI...............3      3      1      1      1      1
ADI.................5      8      43     57     52     45
HAINES INDEX........4      5      5      5      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN SHORT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150427.HANCO.01/MHX


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