Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FNUS73 KSGF 161413
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT SCOTT ABC...USFWS/NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
913 AM CDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MORNING CLOUDS AND FOG WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO MORE SUNSHINE AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON.  THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
AS A SYSTEM NOW OVER THE ROCKIES APPROACHES. LIGHT WINDS TODAY WILL
INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHEAST ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. UNSETTLED WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE  INTO SUNDAY WITH COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED HEADED INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS
                    OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN PATCHY FOG
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE
TEMP............72     75
RH..............61     55
20 FT WIND......SE 4   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   1500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7   SE 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 82 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............73     69     64     62     60     59
RH..............59     68     77     81     82     81
20 FT WIND......E 4    E 4    E 4    E 3    E 3    E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   1500   1400   1300   1100   900
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8   SE 10  SE 15  S 17   S 16   S 12
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     20
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      4      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............58     61     67     72     75     78
RH..............84     84     76     65     58     54
20 FT WIND......E 2    SE 3   S 4    S 4    S 4    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....600    400    900    2400   3700   4400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9   SE 14  SE 15  SE 16  SE 16  SE 17
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     30
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      4      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 72 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....70 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 26 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............76     72     68     66     64     63     62     63     68     70     72     74
RH..............57     65     74     79     82     84     86     85     76     70     65     60
20 FT WIND......S 3    SE 2   N 2    E 2    E 3    SE 2   SE 2   S 2    SW 2   S 5    SE 6   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5                    5      5      5      5                           10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....5500   3900   400    100    400    300    300    300    800    3200   4200   3100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 17  SE 20  S 23   S 25   S 26   S 24   S 21   S 18   S 17   S 15   S 13   S 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     40     40     40     50     50     50     70     70     70     70     70
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      4      4      4      3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...FOSTER
REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150416.FORTS.01/SGF






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