Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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ACUS02 KWNS 280434
SWODY2
SPC AC 280433

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1133 PM CDT MON APR 27 2015

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA...

...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW POSSIBLY SEVERE...SHOULD
DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AHEAD OF A FRONTAL ZONE
WEDNESDAY.

...SERN U.S...

SRN PLAINS UPPER LOW SHOULD DEAMPLIFY AND EJECT EWD ACROSS THE GULF
STATES WEDNESDAY AS MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX TRANSLATES INTO THE FL
PANHANDLE AT 29/12Z.  PRIMARY CORRIDOR OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
SHOULD BE WEST OF THE PENINSULA AT DAYBREAK AND SCT BANDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ALONG/AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE PENINSULA SUGGEST MODEST BUOYANCY WILL
DEVELOP BY MID DAY AND OFFSHORE CONVECTION SHOULD PROPAGATE ACROSS
THE PENINSULA DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD...WITH ELY
MOVEMENT AIDED BY 40KT+ MEAN FLOW.  PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD BE LOCALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS WITHIN FAIRLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY FLOW REGIME.  WHILE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL COULD
ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS...FORECAST LAPSE RATES/INSTABILITY
APPEAR A BIT TOO WEAK TO WARRANT MUCH LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL.

..DARROW.. 04/28/2015




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