Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS La Crosse, WI

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FNUS73 KARX 041633
FWSARX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PR 14...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1133 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE A DRY NORTH/NORTHEAST FLOW
ACROSS THE BURN SITE TODAY. LOOK FOR MINIMUM RH LEVELS AROUND 20
PERCENT WITH NORTH WINDS NEAR 10 MPH. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH
INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY FOR SHOWER/THUNDERSTOTRM
CHANCES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................32 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 22.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................NONE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2300 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /50400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.MAX...GOOD
                    /50400 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (% OPAQUE)..17     17     14     31     31     45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     59     65     70     72     72
RH..............96     72     46     32     25     22
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 6    N 7    N 7    N 7    NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
                    20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................NONE.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN...POOR /2400 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (% OPAQUE)..59     59     73     82     82     82
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............69     60     54     51     49     47
RH..............32     49     59     66     71     76
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 5   E 5    E 5    E 5    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      3      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 24 TO 27 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX...EXCELLENT /82100 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (% OPAQUE)..83     83     86     89     89     91
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............46     49     56     61     60     60
RH..............79     71     55     46     49     51
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 6    E 9    E 9    E 9    E 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...DS
REQUESTED BY...DAN LABER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150504.PR14_.01/ARX



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