Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FNUS74 KLZK 041317
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR AG FPBURN...ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
817 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY WITH S WINDS PERSISTING
FOR MUCH OF THE DAYTIME HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 84.
RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4208 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3900 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....1.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
                    5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............74  76  79  81  83  84  84  84
RH..............64  58  52  48  45  43  42  44
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.5   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  13  13  13  13  14  14  14
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............83  81  78  73  71  69  68  66  65  64  63  62
RH..............44  47  52  60  65  69  72  75  78  81  85  88
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  14  14  15  15  15  15  15  14  13  13  12
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 84.
RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                       AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3932 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3600 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....1.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                            TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............61  61  63  67  71  74  77  79  81  83  83  84
RH..............90  91  85  75  67  60  55  52  49  46  45  45
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   3   5   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   4   7   7   7   11  11  11  7   7
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   1   1   2   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.2   2   2   2   4   4   4   6   6   6   4   4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  10  12  13  14  15  17  18  20  20  20  20
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20

$$
FORECASTER...S CLARKE
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT REED
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150504.AGFPB.01/LZK






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