Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000
FNUS71 KAKQ 191338
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR LASER RANGE...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
938 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL MOVE OFF THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST LATE TODAY. LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OVER THE
DEEP SOUTH WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TODAY...AND WILL PUSH A WARM FRONT
THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT...PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. A
COLD FRONT THEN CROSSES THE AREA LATE MONDAY WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
                    RAIN LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO 21 TO 22 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............48  48  48  62  62  62  78  78  78
WEATHER COV.........                        DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........                        RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................62  65  68  68  68  68  67  66  65
RH..................65  60  57  59  59  61  63  68  70
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......10  10  10  10  12  12  12  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 1.3 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....21  22  22  22  22  21  21  21  21
LVORI...............2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................22  27  33  37  39  40  40  41  42
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   10  10  10  80  80  80
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....14  25  36  39  43  43  44  44  44

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 26 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 14 TO 18
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............95  95  95  100 100 100 100 100 100 89  89  89
WEATHER COV.........DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  64  64  61  61  61  61  61  61  61  60  60
RH..................73  73  73  75  75  78  81  81  84  87  90  93
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......10  12  12  12  12  12  10  10  10  10  10  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.7 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....23  25  26  26  24  22  18  16  14  15  16  18
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5
ADI.................26  23  24  23  22  20  17  14  12  13  14  16
CHC OF PCPN (%).....80  80  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
HAINES INDEX........3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....37  28  17  13  9   5   4   3   3   3   4   4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-4200 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............73  73  73  63  63  63  55  55  55  55  55  55
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC             CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW              RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                                    CHC CHC CHC
TEMP................60  61  62  65  69  72  74  76  77  78  77  76
RH..................96  93  93  84  70  64  57  54  50  48  50  54
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......10  9   8   8   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....18  20  20  20  18  18  18  18  18  20  22  24
LVORI...............5   5   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................21  21  21  24  33  39  41  43  46  53  61  68
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50  50  50  50  50  10  10  10  10  10  50  50
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   4   4   16  27  38  42  47  53  63  75  88



FORECASTER...ALBRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150419.LASER.01/AKQ



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