Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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000
FNUS71 KLWX 041127
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH NEW ROAD RUN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
727 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OFFSHORE TODAY TOWARDS BERMUDA. A COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TUESDAY AND BECOME STATIONARY OVER THE
MID ATLANTIC MID WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED LATE IN THE
WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6900-8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-34900 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (60400-91300 KNOT-FT)
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)       10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........23     35     44     43
WEATHER COV......
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............60     68     73     73
RH...............47     36     30     31
20 FT WIND.......SW 3   SW 5   SW 5   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST..4      7      7      11
CWR..............0      10     10     10
VRATE KT-FT/1000.35     77     90     88

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-6000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (23900-73800
                    KNOT-FT)...DECREASING TO POOR TO POOR (0-9000
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)       6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..........42     41     38     33     29     30
WEATHER COV......S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............71     68     62     58     56     55
RH...............35     42     54     66     77     77
20 FT WIND.......SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 7   W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST..11     11     11     11     11     11
CWR..............20     20     10     10     10     10
VRATE KT-FT/1000.74     47     9      0      0      0

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5800-7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-47400 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO GOOD (31100-57700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)       6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........30     30     41     56     67     61
WEATHER COV......S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.............55     58     65     72     75     74
RH...............79     76     63     51     45     50
20 FT WIND.......W 6    W 6    W 6    W 5    W 5    SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST..11     11     11     7      7      7
CWR..............20     20     20     40     40     40
VRATE KT-FT/1000.0      1      26     58     52     42

$$
FORECASTER...WOODY
REQUESTED BY...SAMI SCHINNELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150504.NORTH.03/LWX


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