Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS73 KAPX 021929
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DNR REQUEST...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
329 PM EDT SAT MAY 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1518 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY EVENING WILL CHANGE LITTLE
FROM THOSE CURRENTLY...WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES TOPPING
OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN A
LITTLE GUSTY...UP TO 18 MPH AT TIMES...THROUGH EARLY EVENING BUT
DECREASE QUICKLY AFTER 8 PM. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE
THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT REQUEST...MAX 77.
RH..................24 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST/SOUTHWEST 8 TO 11 MPH...GUSTING UP TO
                    18 MPH THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 9000 FT AGL THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1200) AT REQUEST. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1200).


TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13  15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............77  76
RH..............22  21
20 FT WIND DIR..WSW WSW
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.18  18
HAINES INDEX....5   5
SMOKE DISP......12001200

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    18 MPH THROUGH 8 PM...BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO
                    5 MPH THROUGH LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH THROUGH EARLY EVENING
                    OTHERWISE 8 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR (0).


TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........16  18  19  22  29  32  31  29  28  27  25  24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............71  70  67  63  60  57  55  53  52  51  51  52
RH..............25  25  28  34  41  47  51  54  56  59  59  56
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.18  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SMOKE DISP......120011001000900 800 500 400 200 100 0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...DAVID LAWRENCE
REQUESTED BY...DON KLINGLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150502.DNRRE.01/APX


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