Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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000
FNUS71 KBGM 041037
FWSBGM

SPOT FORECAST FOR WHEAT PLAINS...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY
637 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
DRY FUELS, GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RESULT IN RED FLAG
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4700-6500
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    8000-9300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 5500-7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO 16 TO 22
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............14  16  18  20  22  22  21  21
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................65  72  76  79  82  84  84  84
RH..................46  37  32  29  27  26  26  26
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......2   4   5   7   9   10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   10  10  20  25  25  25

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........MISSING.
WIND (20 FT)
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............21     20     29     37     46     58
WEATHER COV.........                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................82     76     70     66     62     59
RH..................27     36     45     54     62     72
20 FT WIND..........SW 9   SW 6   SW 4   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     10     5      5

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300-4900 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4300-5600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING
                    TO 3200 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............70     82     80     77     75     77
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                            CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................58     61     68     74     77     78
RH..................80     78     63     51     45     42
20 FT WIND..........SW 2   SW 2   SW 3   W 5    NW 5   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....              5

$$
FORECASTER...MUNDSCHENK
REQUESTED BY...MATT BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150504.WHEAT.01/BGM


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