Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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000
FNUS73 KDLH 032147
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND LAKE COMPLEX...USFS SUPERIOR NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
447 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1632 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE COLD FRONT HAS NOW MOVED THROUGH THE WILDFIRE
AREA...WITH WINDS IN THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH DIRECTION. THEY WILL
SETTLE MORE INTO THE NORTHWEST DIRECTION AS THE EVENING WEARS ON.
NOTICED THE GUSTS FROM THE OBSERVATION WERE FAIRLY LOW. THINK THERE
IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME GUSTS DURING THE EVENING...
ESPECIALLY THE NEXT 3 HOURS...WHERE WE COULD SEE GUSTS INTO THE TEENS.
THERE IS ALSO AN OUTSIDE CHANCE WE COULD SEE GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS DUE TO A QUICK PUSH OF STRONGER WINDS DIRECTLY
BEHIND THE FRONT. SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS WERE TRYING TO ORGANIZE ACROSS
THE ARROWHEAD BUT HAVING A TOUGH TIME REACHING THE GROUND...SO IT
LOOKS TO BE MOSTLY VIRGA OR PERHAPS A FEW SPRINKLES.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN CLEARING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO
                    5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (235800) DECREASING TO POOR (1950).

TIME (CDT)      4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
TEMP............72     71     62     54     49     44     39     37
RH..............22     29     35     44     58     67     76     85
20 FT WIND DIR..N      NW     NW     NW     NW     NW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5      9      7      5      4      4      3      3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     13     14     10     8      6      5      5

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 10200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 9600 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (20700) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (93000)
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (112300) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (79400) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............39     48     58     63     66     67
RH..............76     51     34     25     19     17
20 FT WIND DIR..NW     NW     NW     N      NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..4      6      6      5      4      4
20 FT WIND GUST.6      8      8      7      6      6

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 2
                    TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (31700) DECREASING TO POOR (1300) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............62     51     44     40     37     35
RH..............21     31     44     57     68     70
20 FT WIND DIR..NW     S      S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..3      2      2      3      3      3
20 FT WIND GUST.6      5      5      6      6      6

$$
FORECASTER...DEAN P.
REQUESTED BY...ELIZABETH SCHMIDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150503.SANDL.02/DLH






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