Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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000
FNUS72 KGSP 031032
FWSGSP

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHESTNUT MTN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
632 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE FORECAST SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS
CONTINUES TO PROMOTE DEEP LAYER RIDGING THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
AFTERNOON DURING PEAK HEATING OVER THE MOUNTAINS...WITH CHANCES BEING
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED OVER THE PIEDMONT REGIONS ON THURSDAY AS A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY COULD SLIDE INTO THE REGION.  TEMPERATURES WILL
MODERATE TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE LOWER
TO MID 80S NEAR PERIODS END.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6100-6900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............18     25     37     42
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................55     63     67     67
RH..................59     44     37     39
20 FT WIND..........W 2    SSW 3  SSW 5  SSW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      10     15
MIX HGT (FT)........4100   6000   6100   6600
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 5   SW 7   SW 8   SW 9
LVORI...............2      1      1      1
ADI.................22     31     36     31

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-6000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............45     58     53     45     36     36
WEATHER COV.........                                   PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG
TEMP................65     62     58     54     53     53
RH..................43     50     62     72     79     79
20 FT WIND..........S 5    S 5    S 4    S 4    SW 4   SW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........6000   4400   1600   300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 10  SW 10  S 10   S 10   S 9    S 8
LVORI...............1      2      3      3      4      4
ADI.................34     7      5      5      4      4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6000-7400 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............32     24     51     57     64     61
WEATHER COV.........                     S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................53     57     62     67     70     71
RH..................80     69     57     48     43     41
20 FT WIND..........SW 3   SW 3   SW 2   S 4    S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........300    500    3900   6000   6800   7200
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7   SW 6   SW 6   SW 7   S 8    S 9
LVORI...............5      3      2      2      2      1
ADI.................3      6      21     23     28     32

$$
FORECASTER...GANT
REQUESTED BY...MIKE BROD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150503.CHEST.02/GSP


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