Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Portland, ME

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000
FNUS71 KGYX 021416
FWSGYX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MT  BLUE STATE PARK...MAINE FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1016 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED TODAY WITH MODERATE HUMIDITY LEVELS. EXPECT
CUMULUS CLOUDS TO BE FORMING BY THE TIME OF IGNITION... ESPECIALLY
OVER THE HILLS AND MOUNTAINS. THIS RISING MOTION OVER THE HILLS
MAY CAUSE LOCAL WIND CONDITIONS TO VARY... WITH WIND FLOW LIKELY
TOWARD THE UNSTABLE HILLTOP AREAS. INSTABILITY WEAKENS TOWARD
NIGHTFALL WITH WIND CONDITIONS GOING CALM.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5700-7100
                    FT AGL...DECREASING TO 5000 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............34     61     57
WEATHER COV.........NONE   NONE   NONE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................58     63     65
RH..................51     43     41
20 FT WIND..........S 3    S 5    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5             10
SURFACE WIND........S 3    S 5    S 6
SURFACE WND GST.....5             10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............52     43     40     36     31     26
WEATHER COV.........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................61     56     51     47     44     43
RH..................48     57     71     83     93     96
20 FT WIND..........S 7    SE 3   S 1    SW 1   W 1    NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5
SURFACE WIND........S 7    SE 3   S 1    SW 1   W 1    NW 2
SURFACE WND GST.....10     5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69.
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    7 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 7500-8900
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO
                    5500-6500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 4500 FT AGL
                    LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 8 MPH.
SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    7 MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............22     16     38     53     63     58
WEATHER COV.........NONE   NONE   NONE   S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   S CHC
TEMP................40     48     57     63     68     68
RH..................100    86     62     50     43     43
20 FT WIND..........NW 2   W 2    W 1    SW 2   S 3    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....                     5      5      10
SURFACE WIND........NW 2   W 2    W 1    SW 2   S 3    S 6
SURFACE WND GST.....                     5      5      10

$$
FORECASTER...KIMBLE
REQUESTED BY...WESLEY HATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150502.MTBLU.01/GYX


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