Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Spokane, WA

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FNUS76 KOTX 251727
FWSOTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG THORN...SPOKANE TRIBE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1027 AM PDT SAT APR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...NOTE...THIS FORECAST WAS ISSUED UTILIZING OBSERVATIONS FROM
MIDNIGHT MINE RAWS AND MAY NOT REPRESENT CONDITIONS EXPERIENCED
ON THE PROPOSED BURN SITE...

.DISCUSSION...
A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL KEEP COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER
THE PROPOSED BURN SPOT THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING.
THE INSTABILITY IS DEEP ENOUGH THAT ON AND OFF SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AS WELL AS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM. THE LOW WILL TRACK EAST OF THE AREA ON
SUNDAY WITH DRIER WEATHER ENSUING. THE DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY ACCOMPANIED BY A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND AS
A STRONG RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. THE RIDGE WILL LIKELY BREAK
DOWN BY TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THIS MORNING THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WIND 1 TO 4 MPH THIS MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST TO WEST DURING THE AFTERNOON 3 TO 6
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST TO WEST 6 TO 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH 2100 AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM THROUGH 1900.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 1 TO 4 MPH OVERNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A FEW SMALL CUMULUS BUILDUPS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WIND 0 TO 3 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY...BECOMING 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FX
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN RITZER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150425.LONGT.01/OTX



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