Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FNUS73 KBIS 061829
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL DERAILMENT...NDDES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
129 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0752 CDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS
RAIN SHOWERS ALONG WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL RE-DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...GUSTING
UP TO 30 MPH. PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE INCIDENT
SITE AROUND SUNRISE...BRINGING A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS
UP TO 35 MPH EXPECTED.

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 73 PERCENT.
WIND................SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 22 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
LAL.................3.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........97  95  94  93
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............62  65  68  68
RH..............90  81  73  73
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..21  22  22  22
20 FT WIND GUST.25  30  30  30
CWR.............90  90  90  90
LAL.............3   3   3   3
HAINES INDEX....3   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND................SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
LAL.................3.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 64 PERCENT.
WIND................BREEZY. NORTHWEST 15 TO 22 IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
LAL.................2.
CWR.................65 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SCHILD/KING
REQUESTED BY...NDDES
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150506.TRAIL.01/BIS



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