Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Glasgow, MT

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FXUS65 KGGW 270924
AFDGGW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
324 AM MDT MON APR 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SOME LINGERING LIGHT RAIN IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY ERODE EASTWARD
THIS MORNING WITH SOME PATCHY FOG ALSO POSSIBLE. MODELS ARE IN
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT BRINGING A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER
NORTHEAST MONTANA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL EASILY CLIMB BACK
UP ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY...INCREASING EACH DAY BY ABOUT 10
DEGREES. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE BELOW 10
KNOTS...A VERY COMFORTABLE SPRING START TO THE WEEK. MODEL
AGREEMENT IS EXCELLENT AND FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.

THE NEXT TROUGH AND CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS WILL APPROACH THE
AREA FROM THE WEST LATER WEDNESDAY EVENING. BMICKELSON


.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH NORTHEAST MONTANA WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY AN UPPER TROUGH DURING THE DAY
THURSDAY. WHILE THE SYSTEM HAS LIMITED MOISTURE... THERE IS ENOUGH
INSTABILITY FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. NORTHWEST
WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY ON THURSDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY LOOK MAINLY DRY WITH ZONAL FLOW ALOFT AND
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN NORMAL.

ON SUNDAY... THE MODELS BRING A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE
CANADIAN PRAIRIES WHICH WILL BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

AT THIS POINT... NEXT MONDAY LOOKS DRY AND COOLER WITH SURFACE
HIGH BUILDING INTO THE AREA.


&&

.AVIATION...

CONDITIONS: A MIX OF MVFR/VFR WITH LOW CLOUDS AND LINGERING RAIN
EARLY THIS MORNING. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
MORNING WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL
REMAIN CLEAR TONIGHT.

SYNOPSIS: LOW PRESSURE IN EAST CENTRAL SASKATCHEWAN WILL MOVE TO
THE EAST THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO EASTERN
MONTANA THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA TONIGHT.

WINDS: WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW




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