Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 270715
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
215 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015

.UPDATE...
UPDATED TO INCLUDE TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 125 FOR LOWER HALF OF
NORTHEAST TEXAS AND FOR NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...AND TO INCLUDE THE
MENTION OF SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE ZONES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
EARLY THIS MORNING A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
OVER NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS EAST INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS AND ACROSS
NORTH LOUISIANA NEAR THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. AN INVERTED
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTNEDED NORTH FROM THE SURFACE LOW INTO
OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS...WHILE A TRAILING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
REACHED TO THE SOUTHWEST INTO WEST TEXAS SOUTH OF THE BIG BEND
AREA. ALOFT A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES EJECTING AROUND THE BASE OF A
CLOSED LOW OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE WESTERN PAN HANDLE AREA
OF TEXAS. THIS COMPLEX WEATHER SYSTEM WAS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMSFROM WEST TEXAS INTO TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...KANSAS...AND APPROACHING NORTHWEST LOUISIANA.
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE
SLOWLY EAST ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS NEAR THE RED RIVER AND INTO
ARKANSAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA...NUDGING THE SURFACE LOW SOUTH WITH
THE COLD FRONT REACHING TO THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO...AN OCCULUDED FRONT INTO LOWER PARTS OF THE PAN HANDLE
AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT TRAILING TO THE SOUTHWEST INTO WEST TEXAS
AND MEXICO. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE A WET PERIOD FOR THE
FOUR STATE REGION ALONG WITH THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH POSSIBLE FLASH
FLOODING...AND COOLER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  54  66  54  60  45 /  70  80  80  60  10
MLU  56  66  56  63  47 /  50  50  70  70  30
DEQ  48  63  48  59  40 /  80  80  80  60  10
TXK  48  65  48  59  45 /  80  80  80  60  10
ELD  50  65  50  55  43 /  80  50  70  70  20
TYR  54  67  54  59  47 /  80  80  80  50  10
GGG  53  67  53  60  47 /  80  80  80  50  10
LFK  57  73  57  65  49 /  70  80  80  40  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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