Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 190757
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
357 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.DISCUSSION...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF WET WEATHER WILL START LATER
TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. DRY AIR CURRENTLY IN
PLACE WILL MOISTEN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE
TIMING OF THE RAIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON WILL ALLOW RH VALUES TO DROP
TO AROUND 40 PERCENT...INTO THE 30 PERCENT RANGE AROUND THE I69
CORRIDOR. EASTERLY WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 25 MPH AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING WARM FRONT DURING THE DAY. RAIN WILL THEN SPREAD NORTH
THROUGH THE AREA AND PERSIST INTO TONIGHT AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS
THROUGH THE AREA. SHOWERS WILL THEN PERSIST ON MONDAY WITH MINIMUM RH
VALUES REMAINING ABOVE 50 PERCENT AS TEMPERATURES HOLD NEAR 60.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-192115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
357 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2680-3180 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (730).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......530-730 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 10 AM. SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AFTER 2 PM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2750-3250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...DECREASING TO 20 TO
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (860).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-192115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
357 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2110-2610 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 25
                    TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (650).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......520-720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.76-1.00 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 10 AM. SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AFTER 2 PM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (920).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-192115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
357 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2070-2570 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (630).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    SHOWERS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......37 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......710-910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (70).
PCPN AMOUNT.........1.01-1.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 11 AM. SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AFTER 2 PM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3410-3910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...DECREASING TO 20 TO
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1110).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.

$$

DRK



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