Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 161949
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR STEAMBOAT PEARL LAKE RX...CSFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
149 PM MDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1209 MDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS WILL
SLOWLY MEANDER INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL COLORADO BY MIDDAY FRIDAY. MODERATE
TO STRONG EASTERLY FLOW AROUND THE TOP OF THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE
OVER NORTHWEST COLORADO...GRADUALLY WEAKENING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ALSO
WINDS OVER THE BURN SITE MAY BE ENHANCED DUE TO DOWNSLOPE FLOW WEST
OF THE PARK RANGE. AT TIMES BANDS OF SHOWERS MAY PASS OVER THE BURN...
WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT. A STRAY THUNDERSTORM
IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THIS AFTERNOON...AND AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SNOW SNOW SHOWERS.
                    AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. AT TIMES
                    SNOW MAY BE MIXED WITH RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-41 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-58%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25-35
                    MPH. A FEW STRONGER GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...
                    INCREASING TO NUMEROUS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 25 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (36900 KNOT-FT).

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...
                    BECOMING MORE NORTHEAST AND DECREASING IN THE
                    MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...JOHN TWITCHELL  BART BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150416.STEAM.01/GJT



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