Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
000
FNUS72 KJAX 271311
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL RIDGE...DUVAL EOC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
911 AM EDT MON APR 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0855 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY LEADING
TO COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH NORTHEAST FLOW. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH AN ISOLATED SHOWER LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. WETTER AND MORE STORMY CONDITIONS WILL MOVE IN
TUESDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 26.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........58     43     51     57     64
WEATHER COV.....                            ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............71     75     78     81     80
RH..............93     79     64     53     54
20 FT WIND......W 6    W 5    NW 5   NW 5   NE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10                          5
DISPERSION IDX..13     24     28     28     23
LVORI...........4      3      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3
                    TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....24 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........67     73     73     73     73     76
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                                   S CHC
TEMP............79     74     70     68     66     65
RH..............56     69     81     87     97     97
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 8    E 7    E 5    E 3    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10            5      10
DISPERSION IDX..24     13     6      4      2      4
LVORI...........2      3      4      6      8      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     30     50     50

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-2500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 34.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 2.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........79     81     83     86     88     90
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
TEMP............64     64     70     74     76     76
RH..............97     97     78     69     64     64
20 FT WIND......E 7    E 6    E 7    E 7    E 8    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
DISPERSION IDX..4      7      16     27     32     34
LVORI...........7      6      4      3      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     60     60     60     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...WATCH OFFICER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150427.TRAIL.01/JAX


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.