Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
UXUS97 KBOU 060201
SRGBOU

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder, Colorado
2000 MDT Tuesday, May 5, 2015

This forecast is for Wednesday, May 6, 2015:

If the trigger temperature of 61.9 F/16.6 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 198 ft/min (1.0 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 12660 ft MSL (7353 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 67.0 F/19.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9006 ft MSL (3700 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Thursday 05/07..... Fair

Wave Soaring Index............................. Poor
Wave Soaring Index trend (to 1800 MDT)......... No change
Height of stable layer (12-18K ft MSL)......... None
Weak PVA/NVA (through 1800 MDT)................ Weak NVA
Potential height of wave....................... 16368 ft MSL (11061 ft AGL)
Wave soaring outlook for Thursday 05/07........ Poor

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:54:25 / 19:57:35 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 3 min 10 sec (843 min 10 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:56:11 MDT... 66.83 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/06/2015 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 11228 ft MSL (5921 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 10439 ft MSL (5132 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 11391 ft MSL (6084 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.4
K index......................... +24.3

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -57.1 -70.8   230   26   14   1.6   0.9      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -54.7 -66.5   225   26   14  -0.3  -0.2      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -55.1 -67.2   205   15    8  -0.3  -0.2      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -54.5 -66.1   205   10    5   1.9   1.0      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -53.4 -64.1   215    4    2   1.9   1.0      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -51.0 -59.8   285    2    1   9.4   5.2      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -45.2 -49.4   280    6    3   9.6   5.3      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -38.9 -38.0   275    9    5   8.9   4.9   36.7  98.0    13.0      M    M
 29000  -36.3 -33.3   275   10    5   8.9   4.9   36.3  97.3    12.8      M    M
 28000  -33.6 -28.5   275   11    6   8.9   4.9   36.0  96.7    12.8      M    M
 27000  -31.1 -24.0   270   11    6   8.0   4.4   35.7  96.2    12.6      M    M
 26000  -28.7 -19.7   275   12    6   7.9   4.3   34.8  94.7    12.1      M    M
 25000  -26.4 -15.5   275   12    6   7.9   4.3   34.2  93.5    11.7      M    M
 24000  -24.0 -11.2   275   12    6   7.6   4.2   33.6  92.5    11.3      M    M
 23000  -21.9  -7.4   285   11    6   7.1   3.9   32.6  90.6    10.6      M    M
 22000  -19.8  -3.6   290   11    6   7.2   3.9   31.6  88.9     9.9      M    M
 21000  -17.7   0.1   295   11    6   6.8   3.7   30.8  87.4     9.2      M    M
 20000  -15.8   3.6   300   12    6   6.6   3.6   29.6  85.2     8.3      M    M
 19500  -14.8   5.4   300   12    6   6.6   3.6   29.0  84.2     7.9      M    M
 19000  -13.8   7.2   300   13    7   6.7   3.7   28.5  83.3     7.4      M    M
 18500  -12.9   8.8   305   13    7   6.6   3.6   28.0  82.4     7.0      M    M
 18000  -11.9  10.6   305   14    7   6.6   3.6   27.5  81.4     6.6      M    M
 17500  -11.0  12.2   305   15    8   6.6   3.6   26.9  80.5     6.1      M    M
 17000  -10.0  14.0   305   16    8   6.1   3.3   26.3  79.4     5.6      M    M
 16500   -9.2  15.4   305   16    8   6.0   3.3   25.7  78.3     5.0      M    M
 16000   -8.3  17.1   305   17    9   5.9   3.2   25.1  77.2     4.5      M    M
 15500   -7.1  19.2   310   17    9   5.6   3.1   24.0  75.3     3.5      M    M
 15000   -6.2  20.8   310   17    9   5.8   3.2   23.4  74.1     2.9      M    M
 14500   -5.4  22.3   310   17    9   5.9   3.2   22.7  72.9     2.3      M    M
 14000   -4.5  23.9   310   17    9   5.7   3.1   22.1  71.8     1.7      M    M
 13500   -3.8  25.2   310   17    9   5.3   2.9   21.4  70.4     1.0      M    M
 13000   -3.0  26.6   310   18    9   5.4   2.9   20.6  69.2     0.4      M    M
 12500   -2.2  28.0   310   18    9   5.8   3.2   20.0  67.9    -0.3    579  2.9
 12000   -1.4  29.5   310   18    9   5.8   3.2   19.3  66.8    -0.9    540  2.7
 11500   -0.4  31.3   305   18    9   6.7   3.7   18.8  65.8    -1.5    497  2.5
 11000    0.5  32.9   305   17    9   6.7   3.7   18.3  64.9    -1.9    453  2.3
 10500    1.8  35.2   300   16    8   9.3   5.1   18.1  64.5    -2.2    402  2.0
 10250    2.4  36.3   300   16    8   9.2   5.1   18.0  64.4    -2.2    374  1.9
 10000    3.1  37.6   300   16    8   9.3   5.1   18.0  64.4    -2.3    345  1.8
  9750    3.8  38.8   300   15    8   7.9   4.3   17.9  64.2    -2.4    319  1.6
  9500    4.3  39.7   300   14    7   7.0   3.8   17.7  63.9    -2.6    296  1.5
  9250    4.8  40.6   305   13    7   7.6   4.1   17.5  63.5    -2.8    273  1.4
  9000    5.3  41.5   305   12    6   6.0   3.3   17.3  63.2    -3.0    250  1.3
  8750    5.7  42.3   305   11    6   5.1   2.8   16.9  62.5    -3.4    232  1.2
  8500    6.1  43.0   305   10    5   5.9   3.2   16.6  61.9    -3.7    212  1.1
  8250    6.5  43.7   305    9    5   5.5   3.0   16.3  61.4    -4.1    193  1.0
  8000    6.9  44.4   305    8    4   6.4   3.5   16.0  60.8    -4.4    174  0.9
  7750    7.3  45.1   300    7    3   6.0   3.3   15.8  60.4    -4.7    153  0.8
  7500    7.7  45.9   295    6    3   4.9   2.7   15.4  59.7    -5.1    135  0.7
  7250    8.0  46.4   285    5    2   5.1   2.8   15.1  59.1    -5.5    117  0.6
  7000    8.4  47.1   270    4    2   6.2   3.4   14.7  58.5    -5.8     99  0.5
  6750    8.9  48.0   245    3    2   6.3   3.5   14.5  58.1    -6.1     78  0.4
  6500    9.3  48.7   225    4    2   5.9   3.2   14.2  57.6    -6.5     58  0.3
  6250    9.7  49.5   205    4    2   4.9   2.7   13.9  57.0    -6.8     38  0.2
  6000   10.0  50.0   195    5    2   3.8   2.1   13.5  56.2    -7.3     23  0.1
  5750   10.1  50.2   190    5    3  -1.1  -0.6   12.9  55.2    -7.9     11  0.1
  5500    9.6  49.3   180    5    2  -8.5  -4.7   11.8  53.2    -9.1     18  0.1

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           05/06/2015 at 0900 MDT          |       05/06/2015 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
K index... +24.7  LI... +273.4             | K index... +24.2  LI... +272.4
CAPE... +44.6  CIN... -16.9                | CAPE... +73.2  CIN... -71.6
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -56.3 -69.3  225  26 13   1.9   1.0 | -56.3 -69.3  205  26 13   2.5   1.3
 45000 -53.7 -64.7  225  27 14  -1.6  -0.9 | -52.9 -63.2  210  28 15  -2.1  -1.2
 40000 -56.0 -68.8  215  14  7  -1.5  -0.8 | -55.8 -68.4  210  19 10  -2.0  -1.1
 38000 -55.3 -67.5  215   9  5   2.6   1.4 | -55.4 -67.7  215  16  8   2.4   1.3
 36000 -53.8 -64.8  235   5  3   2.6   1.4 | -54.0 -65.2  225  13  7   2.4   1.3
 34000 -51.3 -60.3  275   4  2   8.8   4.8 | -51.4 -60.5  245  11  6   9.4   5.2
 32000 -45.8 -50.4  265   8  4   9.0   5.0 | -45.6 -50.1  250  12  6   9.7   5.3
 30000 -39.7 -39.5  265  11  6   9.5   5.2 | -39.3 -38.7  255  13  7   8.8   4.8
 29000 -36.8 -34.2  265  11  6   9.4   5.2 | -36.7 -34.1  260  12  6   8.8   4.8
 28000 -34.0 -29.2  265  11  6   9.5   5.2 | -34.1 -29.4  260  12  6   8.8   4.8
 27000 -31.3 -24.3  265  12  6   8.0   4.4 | -31.5 -24.7  265  12  6   8.1   4.4
 26000 -29.0 -20.2  270  12  6   7.9   4.3 | -29.1 -20.4  270  12  6   8.1   4.4
 25000 -26.6 -15.9  270  12  6   7.9   4.3 | -26.7 -16.1  275  12  6   8.1   4.4
 24000 -24.3 -11.7  270  13  6   7.7   4.2 | -24.3 -11.7  280  12  6   7.8   4.3
 23000 -22.1  -7.8  270  13  7   7.4   4.1 | -22.1  -7.8  285  12  6   7.4   4.1
 22000 -19.9  -3.8  270  14  7   7.4   4.1 | -19.9  -3.8  295  12  6   7.4   4.1
 21000 -17.7   0.1  275  15  8   6.9   3.8 | -17.7   0.1  300  13  7   7.0   3.8
 20000 -15.8   3.6  285  16  8   6.7   3.7 | -15.7   3.7  295  13  7   6.9   3.8
 19500 -14.8   5.4  285  17  9   6.7   3.7 | -14.7   5.5  295  13  7   6.9   3.8
 19000 -13.8   7.2  290  18  9   6.7   3.7 | -13.7   7.3  295  13  7   6.9   3.8
 18500 -12.8   9.0  295  19 10   6.5   3.6 | -12.7   9.1  290  13  7   6.8   3.7
 18000 -11.9  10.6  295  19 10   5.9   3.2 | -11.7  10.9  290  13  7   6.7   3.7
 17500 -11.1  12.0  300  19 10   6.0   3.3 | -10.7  12.7  290  13  7   6.7   3.7
 17000 -10.2  13.6  305  19 10   5.7   3.1 |  -9.8  14.4  285  14  7   6.1   3.4
 16500  -9.4  15.1  305  18  9   5.7   3.1 |  -8.9  16.0  285  14  7   6.1   3.4
 16000  -8.2  17.2  310  17  9   5.7   3.1 |  -7.6  18.3  285  16  8   6.0   3.3
 15500  -7.3  18.9  310  17  9   5.7   3.1 |  -6.7  19.9  285  16  8   6.0   3.3
 15000  -6.5  20.3  310  16  8   5.7   3.1 |  -5.8  21.6  285  17  9   6.0   3.3
 14500  -5.7  21.7  310  16  8   5.7   3.1 |  -5.0  23.0  285  18  9   6.0   3.3
 14000  -4.9  23.2  310  16  8   5.9   3.2 |  -4.1  24.6  285  19 10   6.6   3.6
 13500  -4.0  24.8  305  16  8   6.2   3.4 |  -3.0  26.6  285  20 10   7.4   4.0
 13000  -3.1  26.4  305  16  8   6.1   3.4 |  -1.9  28.6  285  21 11   7.9   4.4
 12500  -2.2  28.0  305  16  8   5.9   3.3 |  -0.5  31.1  290  21 11  10.1   5.5
 12000  -1.4  29.5  300  16  8   6.0   3.3 |   1.0  33.8  290  22 11   9.6   5.3
 11500  -0.5  31.1  300  16  8   6.4   3.5 |   2.1  35.8  290  22 11   6.4   3.5
 11000   0.4  32.7  300  15  8   6.4   3.5 |   3.0  37.4  290  22 11   6.5   3.6
 10500   1.6  34.9  295  15  8   8.5   4.7 |   3.9  39.0  295  21 11   5.6   3.1
 10250   2.2  36.0  295  14  7   9.1   5.0 |   4.3  39.7  295  20 10   5.8   3.2
 10000   2.9  37.2  295  14  7   9.9   5.4 |   4.7  40.5  295  19 10   6.0   3.3
  9750   3.6  38.5  295  13  7   7.4   4.1 |   5.2  41.4  295  17  9   5.9   3.3
  9500   4.0  39.2  290  13  7   6.0   3.3 |   5.6  42.1  295  15  8   6.0   3.3
  9250   4.5  40.1  290  12  6   6.4   3.5 |   6.0  42.8  295  13  6   5.9   3.2
  9000   5.0  41.0  285  11  6   6.3   3.5 |   6.4  43.5  295  10  5   5.8   3.2
  8750   5.4  41.7  285  11  5   6.3   3.5 |   6.8  44.2  295   8  4   6.5   3.6
  8500   5.9  42.6  280  10  5   6.4   3.5 |   7.3  45.1  295   6  3   7.4   4.0
  8250   6.3  43.3  275   9  4   5.9   3.2 |   7.8  46.0  290   4  2   6.3   3.4
  8000   6.8  44.2  270   8  4   8.0   4.4 |   8.2  46.8  275   2  1  10.1   5.5
  7750   7.4  45.3  255   7  3   8.1   4.5 |   9.1  48.4  275   2  1  11.3   6.2
  7500   7.8  46.0  245   6  3   6.2   3.4 |   9.8  49.6  270   1  1   8.4   4.6
  7250   8.3  46.9  230   6  3   6.7   3.7 |  10.4  50.7  270   1  1   9.2   5.0
  7000   8.8  47.8  215   6  3   7.3   4.0 |  11.1  52.0  265   1  1   9.3   5.1
  6750   9.3  48.7  205   6  3   7.4   4.1 |  11.8  53.2  265   1  1  10.2   5.6
  6500   9.8  49.6  190   6  3   6.7   3.7 |  12.6  54.7  265   1  1  10.5   5.7
  6250  10.3  50.5  180   7  3   7.9   4.3 |  13.3  55.9  265   1  1  10.2   5.6
  6000  10.9  51.6  175   6  3   9.5   5.2 |  14.1  57.4  265   1  1  10.5   5.8
  5750  11.6  52.9  175   6  3  10.2   5.6 |  14.9  58.8  270   1  0   8.8   4.8
  5500  12.5  54.5  170   5  3  13.5   7.4 |  15.6  60.1  275   1  0  13.6   7.4

           05/06/2015 at 1500 MDT          |       05/06/2015 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
K index... +25.5  LI... +271.1             | K index... +26.7  LI... +272.0
CAPE... +374.6  CIN... -10.9               | CAPE... +180.8  CIN... -13.0
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -57.0 -70.6  200  30 15   2.7   1.5 | -56.3 -69.3  205  27 14   2.2   1.2
 45000 -53.4 -64.1  200  32 16  -2.7  -1.5 | -53.4 -64.1  200  29 15  -3.2  -1.7
 40000 -57.2 -71.0  210  20 11  -2.6  -1.4 | -57.9 -72.2  185  20 10  -3.0  -1.6
 38000 -56.2 -69.2  210  18  9   4.2   2.3 | -57.0 -70.6  185  16  8   4.2   2.3
 36000 -53.7 -64.7  210  17  9   4.2   2.3 | -54.5 -66.1  195  11  5   4.2   2.3
 34000 -50.5 -58.9  210  15  8   8.6   4.7 | -51.0 -59.8  210   8  4   9.5   5.2
 32000 -45.2 -49.4  220  14  7   8.7   4.8 | -45.2 -49.4  215  10  5   9.6   5.3
 30000 -39.3 -38.7  235  13  7   9.0   4.9 | -38.9 -38.0  215  12  6   8.9   4.9
 29000 -36.6 -33.9  240  12  6   9.0   4.9 | -36.3 -33.3  220  12  6   8.9   4.9
 28000 -33.9 -29.0  245  11  6   9.0   4.9 | -33.6 -28.5  220  12  6   8.9   4.9
 27000 -31.3 -24.3  255  11  6   8.1   4.5 | -31.0 -23.8  225  11  6   7.7   4.2
 26000 -28.9 -20.0  255  11  6   8.2   4.5 | -28.7 -19.7  230  11  6   7.8   4.3
 25000 -26.5 -15.7  260  11  6   8.2   4.5 | -26.4 -15.5  235  11  6   7.8   4.3
 24000 -24.0 -11.2  260  11  6   7.7   4.3 | -24.1 -11.4  240  11  5   7.5   4.1
 23000 -21.9  -7.4  265  12  6   7.4   4.0 | -21.9  -7.4  250  11  6   7.3   4.0
 22000 -19.7  -3.5  265  12  6   7.4   4.1 | -19.8  -3.6  255  11  6   7.4   4.0
 21000 -17.5   0.5  265  13  7   6.7   3.7 | -17.6   0.3  265  12  6   7.0   3.8
 20000 -15.6   3.9  275  14  7   6.6   3.6 | -15.6   3.9  270  14  7   6.9   3.8
 19500 -14.7   5.5  275  15  8   6.6   3.6 | -14.6   5.7  275  14  7   6.9   3.8
 19000 -13.7   7.3  280  16  8   6.6   3.6 | -13.6   7.5  280  15  8   6.9   3.8
 18500 -12.7   9.1  280  17  9   6.6   3.6 | -12.6   9.3  280  16  8   6.5   3.6
 18000 -11.8  10.8  280  19 10   6.6   3.6 | -11.7  10.9  285  17  9   6.1   3.3
 17500 -10.8  12.6  280  20 10   6.6   3.6 | -10.8  12.6  285  17  9   6.0   3.3
 17000  -9.9  14.2  280  22 11   6.5   3.6 |  -9.9  14.2  285  18  9   6.5   3.5
 16500  -8.4  16.9  280  23 12   6.4   3.5 |  -8.9  16.0  290  19 10   6.5   3.5
 16000  -7.4  18.7  280  23 12   7.2   4.0 |  -8.0  17.6  290  19 10   6.5   3.5
 15500  -6.4  20.5  280  23 12   7.1   3.9 |  -6.6  20.1  290  20 10   6.5   3.6
 15000  -5.3  22.5  280  23 12   7.4   4.1 |  -5.7  21.7  285  20 10   6.5   3.6
 14500  -4.2  24.4  275  22 11   7.5   4.1 |  -4.7  23.5  285  21 11   6.6   3.6
 14000  -3.1  26.4  275  21 11   7.4   4.0 |  -3.8  25.2  285  21 11   6.7   3.7
 13500  -2.1  28.2  270  19 10   7.2   3.9 |  -2.8  27.0  280  21 11   6.8   3.7
 13000  -1.0  30.2  270  18  9   7.2   3.9 |  -1.8  28.8  280  22 11   6.7   3.7
 12500   0.0  32.0  265  17  9   7.2   3.9 |  -0.9  30.4  280  22 11   6.4   3.5
 12000   1.1  34.0  255  16  8   7.2   4.0 |   0.0  32.0  280  22 11   6.8   3.7
 11500   2.2  36.0  250  14  7   7.8   4.3 |   1.2  34.2  280  21 11   9.0   4.9
 11000   3.3  37.9  245  13  7   7.8   4.3 |   2.5  36.5  280  19 10   8.9   4.9
 10500   4.5  40.1  235  12  6   7.8   4.3 |   3.9  39.0  275  18  9   9.1   5.0
 10250   5.0  41.0  230  12  6   8.3   4.5 |   4.6  40.3  270  17  9   9.9   5.4
 10000   5.7  42.3  230  12  6   8.9   4.9 |   5.4  41.7  270  16  8  10.6   5.8
  9750   6.3  43.3  230  11  6   9.5   5.2 |   6.1  43.0  270  16  8   9.8   5.4
  9500   7.1  44.8  225  11  5  10.0   5.5 |   6.8  44.2  270  15  8   9.8   5.4
  9250   7.8  46.0  220  10  5   9.7   5.3 |   7.6  45.7  265  15  8   9.3   5.1
  9000   8.5  47.3  220  10  5   8.7   4.8 |   8.2  46.8  265  14  7   7.9   4.3
  8750   9.1  48.4  215   9  5   8.8   4.8 |   8.8  47.8  260  14  7   8.4   4.6
  8500   9.8  49.6  210   9  5   9.3   5.1 |   9.4  48.9  260  14  7   9.4   5.2
  8250  10.5  50.9  210   9  4   9.6   5.3 |  10.1  50.2  260  14  7   8.4   4.6
  8000  11.1  52.0  205   8  4   7.9   4.3 |  10.8  51.4  255  14  7  11.3   6.2
  7750  11.7  53.1  205   8  4   7.5   4.1 |  11.7  53.1  255  13  7  10.7   5.8
  7500  12.2  54.0  200   8  4   9.1   5.0 |  12.3  54.1  250  13  7   7.4   4.0
  7250  12.8  55.0  200   7  4   8.6   4.7 |  12.9  55.2  250  13  7   8.3   4.5
  7000  13.4  56.1  195   6  3   9.6   5.3 |  13.5  56.3  250  13  6   9.2   5.1
  6750  14.2  57.6  195   6  3  10.4   5.7 |  14.2  57.6  250  12  6   9.7   5.3
  6500  14.9  58.8  195   6  3  10.1   5.5 |  14.9  58.8  250  12  6   9.0   4.9
  6250  15.7  60.3  195   6  3  10.4   5.7 |  15.5  59.9  245  12  6   9.4   5.1
  6000  16.5  61.7  195   6  3  10.1   5.6 |  16.2  61.2  245  11  6   9.7   5.3
  5750  17.3  63.1  195   5  3  13.9   7.6 |  16.9  62.4  245  11  5   9.3   5.1
  5500  18.5  65.3  195   5  3  21.2  11.7 |  17.5  63.5  245   9  5   8.1   4.5
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC).  It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the old Stapleton
Airport site in Denver, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  39 deg 46 min 5.016 sec
                   West Longitude: 104 deg 52 min 9.984 sec
                   Elevation: 5285 feet (1611 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613



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