Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
UXUS97 KBOU 020015
SRGBOU

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder, Colorado
1815 MDT Friday, May 1, 2015

This forecast is for Saturday, May 2, 2015:

If the trigger temperature of 70.4 F/21.3 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1187 ft/min (6.0 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 17915 ft MSL (12608 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 78.0 F/26.0 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 10934 ft MSL (5627 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 05/03....... Good

Wave Soaring Index............................. Poor
Wave Soaring Index trend (to 1800 MDT)......... No change
Height of stable layer (12-18K ft MSL)......... None
Weak PVA/NVA (through 1800 MDT)................ Weak NVA
Potential height of wave....................... 32172 ft MSL (26865 ft AGL)
Wave soaring outlook for Sunday 05/03.......... Poor

Remarks... None

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:59:07 / 19:53:37 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 54 min 29 sec (834 min 29 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:56:33 MDT... 65.68 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/02/2015 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 13227 ft MSL (7920 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16245 ft MSL (10938 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16626 ft MSL (11319 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.8
K index......................... +8.0

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -61.1 -78.0   270   33   17  -0.6  -0.3      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -61.9 -79.4   275   38   20  -1.2  -0.6      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -63.9 -83.0   270   43   22  -1.3  -0.7      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -61.4 -78.5   270   44   23   7.1   3.9      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -57.1 -70.8   265   44   23   7.1   3.9      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -51.9 -61.4   265   42   22   8.7   4.8      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -46.6 -51.9   270   39   20   8.7   4.8      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -41.3 -42.3   275   36   18   9.0   4.9   33.6  92.5     6.1      M    M
 29000  -38.6 -37.5   275   34   18   9.0   4.9   33.3  91.9     5.9      M    M
 28000  -36.0 -32.8   280   33   17   9.0   4.9   33.1  91.5     5.8      M    M
 27000  -33.4 -28.1   280   32   17   8.1   4.5   32.7  90.8     5.5      M    M
 26000  -30.9 -23.6   285   31   16   8.1   4.5   32.0  89.5     5.1      M    M
 25000  -28.5 -19.3   290   31   16   8.1   4.5   31.4  88.5     4.7      M    M
 24000  -26.1 -15.0   290   30   15   7.6   4.2   30.8  87.4     4.2      M    M
 23000  -23.8 -10.8   295   29   15   7.7   4.2   30.0  85.9     3.6      M    M
 22000  -21.5  -6.7   295   28   14   7.7   4.2   29.3  84.7     3.0      M    M
 21000  -19.3  -2.7   295   27   14   7.2   4.0   28.5  83.3     2.4      M    M
 20000  -17.1   1.2   295   24   13   7.3   4.0   27.6  81.6     1.6      M    M
 19500  -16.0   3.2   295   23   12   7.3   4.0   27.1  80.9     1.2      M    M
 19000  -14.9   5.2   295   22   11   7.3   4.0   26.8  80.2     0.9      M    M
 18500  -13.8   7.2   295   21   11   7.4   4.1   26.4  79.4     0.5      M    M
 18000  -12.7   9.1   295   20   10   7.4   4.1   25.9  78.7     0.2      M    M
 17500  -11.0  12.2   300   19   10   9.0   4.9   25.5  77.8    -0.3   1132  5.8
 17000   -9.7  14.5   300   19   10   8.8   4.8   25.3  77.6    -0.4   1078  5.5
 16500   -8.4  16.9   300   18    9   8.8   4.8   25.2  77.3    -0.6   1024  5.2
 16000   -7.0  19.4   300   18    9   8.8   4.8   25.0  77.0    -0.7    969  4.9
 15500   -5.7  21.7   300   18    9   8.7   4.8   24.8  76.7    -0.9    915  4.6
 15000   -4.4  24.1   300   18    9   8.6   4.7   24.6  76.4    -1.1    861  4.4
 14500   -3.1  26.4   300   18    9   8.6   4.7   24.5  76.0    -1.2    807  4.1
 14000   -1.8  28.8   300   17    9   8.6   4.7   24.3  75.7    -1.4    754  3.8
 13500   -0.6  30.9   300   16    8   8.6   4.7   24.1  75.3    -1.6    701  3.6
 13000    0.7  33.3   305   15    8   8.1   4.4   23.9  74.9    -1.8    649  3.3
 12500    1.9  35.4   305   14    7   8.1   4.5   23.6  74.5    -2.1    598  3.0
 12000    3.1  37.6   310   14    7   8.1   4.4   23.3  74.0    -2.4    547  2.8
 11500    4.3  39.7   310   13    7   8.1   4.5   23.1  73.5    -2.7    497  2.5
 11000    5.5  41.9   315   12    6   7.8   4.3   22.8  73.0    -3.0    447  2.3
 10500    6.6  43.9   315   12    6   8.4   4.6   22.5  72.4    -3.3    398  2.0
 10250    7.2  45.0   320   11    6   5.6   3.1   22.3  72.2    -3.5    373  1.9
 10000    7.5  45.5   320   11    6   6.6   3.6   21.9  71.4    -3.9    356  1.8
  9750    8.2  46.8   320   11    6   9.8   5.4   21.9  71.4    -4.0    328  1.7
  9500    8.8  47.8   320   11    6   9.6   5.3   21.8  71.3    -4.0    301  1.5
  9250    9.5  49.1   320   12    6   7.3   4.0   21.8  71.2    -4.1    273  1.4
  9000   10.0  50.0   320   12    6   6.8   3.7   21.5  70.7    -4.4    252  1.3
  8750   10.6  51.1   320   12    6   9.1   5.0   21.4  70.5    -4.5    226  1.2
  8500   11.2  52.2   320   11    6   8.5   4.7   21.3  70.4    -4.6    200  1.0
  8250   11.8  53.2   315   11    6   8.5   4.6   21.2  70.2    -4.8    175  0.9
  8000   12.4  54.3   315   11    6   7.6   4.1   21.1  70.0    -4.9    150  0.8
  7750   12.9  55.2   315   11    6   6.5   3.6   20.9  69.6    -5.2    128  0.6
  7500   13.3  55.9   315   11    6   5.9   3.3   20.6  69.1    -5.5    107  0.5
  7250   13.7  56.7   315   11    5   5.7   3.1   20.3  68.6    -5.8     88  0.4
  7000   14.1  57.4   315   10    5   5.0   2.7   20.0  68.0    -6.2     69  0.4
  6750   14.4  57.9   315   10    5   5.8   3.2   19.6  67.3    -6.6     51  0.3
  6500   14.7  58.5   320    9    5  -1.9  -1.0   19.2  66.5    -7.1     37  0.2
  6250   14.1  57.4   310    8    4 -10.1  -5.5   17.8  64.1    -8.5     48  0.2
  6000   13.4  56.1   300    7    4  -7.4  -4.1   16.4  61.6   -10.0     62  0.3
  5750   12.7  54.9   290    7    3 -10.4  -5.7   15.1  59.2   -11.3     73  0.4
  5500   11.1  52.0   265    6    3 -37.1 -20.3   12.8  55.0   -13.7    115  0.6

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           05/02/2015 at 0900 MDT          |       05/02/2015 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
K index... +10.5  LI... +274.5             | K index... +14.0  LI... +272.5
CAPE... 0.0  CIN... M                      | CAPE... +113.4  CIN... -61.7
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -61.2 -78.2  280  27 14  -0.8  -0.4 | -61.7 -79.1  270  25 13  -0.5  -0.3
 45000 -62.3 -80.1  280  35 18  -0.8  -0.4 | -62.5 -80.5  275  34 18  -0.5  -0.3
 40000 -63.5 -82.3  275  39 20  -0.8  -0.4 | -63.3 -81.9  275  37 19  -0.5  -0.3
 38000 -61.1 -78.0  270  41 21   6.6   3.6 | -61.0 -77.8  270  38 20   6.1   3.3
 36000 -57.2 -71.0  265  42 22   6.6   3.6 | -56.9 -70.4  265  39 20   6.1   3.3
 34000 -52.1 -61.8  260  41 21   8.7   4.8 | -52.4 -62.3  260  37 19   9.3   5.1
 32000 -46.9 -52.4  265  35 18   8.7   4.8 | -46.8 -52.2  260  32 17   9.3   5.1
 30000 -41.7 -43.1  270  30 16   8.6   4.7 | -41.6 -42.9  260  27 14   8.1   4.4
 29000 -39.1 -38.4  275  29 15   8.6   4.7 | -39.1 -38.4  260  25 13   8.1   4.4
 28000 -36.5 -33.7  280  28 14   8.6   4.7 | -36.7 -34.1  265  22 11   8.1   4.4
 27000 -34.0 -29.2  285  27 14   8.4   4.6 | -34.3 -29.7  270  20 11   8.2   4.5
 26000 -31.4 -24.5  285  26 13   8.4   4.6 | -31.8 -25.2  275  21 11   8.2   4.5
 25000 -28.9 -20.0  285  26 13   8.4   4.6 | -29.3 -20.7  280  22 11   8.2   4.5
 24000 -26.4 -15.5  285  25 13   7.9   4.3 | -26.9 -16.4  285  24 12   8.1   4.5
 23000 -24.1 -11.4  290  26 13   8.0   4.4 | -24.5 -12.1  285  27 14   8.2   4.5
 22000 -21.7  -7.1  290  26 13   8.0   4.4 | -22.0  -7.6  290  29 15   8.2   4.5
 21000 -19.3  -2.7  290  26 13   7.8   4.3 | -19.6  -3.3  290  31 16   7.9   4.4
 20000 -17.0   1.4  290  26 13   7.8   4.3 | -17.3   0.9  290  32 16   8.0   4.4
 19500 -15.9   3.4  295  25 13   7.8   4.3 | -16.1   3.0  290  32 17   8.0   4.4
 19000 -14.7   5.5  295  25 13   7.8   4.3 | -14.9   5.2  290  32 17   8.0   4.4
 18500 -13.6   7.5  295  25 13   7.1   3.9 | -13.7   7.3  290  32 17   8.2   4.5
 18000 -12.5   9.5  295  24 12   7.2   3.9 | -11.9  10.6  290  32 16   8.2   4.5
 17500 -10.9  12.4  295  22 12   7.5   4.1 | -10.6  12.9  290  31 16   8.2   4.5
 17000  -9.8  14.4  295  21 11   7.5   4.1 |  -9.4  15.1  290  30 16   8.2   4.5
 16500  -8.7  16.3  300  20 10   8.0   4.4 |  -8.2  17.2  290  30 15   8.3   4.6
 16000  -7.4  18.7  300  19 10   8.2   4.5 |  -6.9  19.6  290  29 15   8.3   4.6
 15500  -6.2  20.8  300  18  9   8.3   4.6 |  -5.7  21.7  290  28 14   8.4   4.6
 15000  -5.0  23.0  300  18  9   8.6   4.7 |  -4.4  24.1  290  26 13   8.5   4.6
 14500  -3.7  25.3  300  18  9   8.6   4.7 |  -3.2  26.2  290  24 12   8.4   4.6
 14000  -2.4  27.7  300  17  9   8.6   4.7 |  -1.9  28.6  290  23 12   8.2   4.5
 13500  -1.1  30.0  305  17  9   8.6   4.7 |  -0.7  30.7  295  21 11   8.2   4.5
 13000   0.2  32.4  305  17  9   9.0   4.9 |   0.5  32.9  295  19 10   8.3   4.6
 12500   1.5  34.7  305  16  8   9.0   5.0 |   1.7  35.1  300  18  9   8.3   4.6
 12000   2.8  37.0  305  15  8   8.2   4.5 |   2.9  37.2  300  16  8   8.9   4.9
 11500   4.0  39.2  310  14  7   8.2   4.5 |   4.2  39.6  305  15  8   8.9   4.9
 11000   5.3  41.5  310  13  7   8.3   4.6 |   5.5  41.9  305  13  7   8.6   4.7
 10500   6.5  43.7  315  12  6   9.1   5.0 |   6.8  44.2  310  12  6   9.4   5.2
 10250   7.1  44.8  315  11  6   5.2   2.8 |   7.5  45.5  310  11  6   5.2   2.9
 10000   7.4  45.3  315  11  6   6.2   3.4 |   7.7  45.9  310  10  5   6.0   3.3
  9750   8.1  46.6  315  11  6  10.7   5.9 |   8.5  47.3  310  10  5  10.5   5.8
  9500   8.8  47.8  315  10  5  10.0   5.5 |   9.2  48.6  310   9  4   9.8   5.4
  9250   9.6  49.3  320  10  5   8.5   4.6 |   9.9  49.8  315   8  4   8.1   4.4
  9000  10.1  50.2  320  10  5   7.8   4.3 |  10.4  50.7  310   7  4   7.3   4.0
  8750  10.7  51.3  320   9  5   9.3   5.1 |  11.1  52.0  310   6  3   8.9   4.9
  8500  11.4  52.5  320   9  5   8.9   4.9 |  11.7  53.1  310   5  3   8.5   4.6
  8250  12.0  53.6  320   9  5   9.1   5.0 |  12.4  54.3  310   4  2   9.4   5.1
  8000  12.7  54.9  320   9  5   8.6   4.7 |  13.0  55.4  305   3  1   9.6   5.2
  7750  13.3  55.9  320   9  5   8.1   4.4 |  13.7  56.7  295   2  1   8.8   4.8
  7500  13.8  56.8  320  10  5   7.4   4.1 |  14.3  57.7  285   2  1   9.2   5.0
  7250  14.3  57.7  320  10  5   6.4   3.5 |  14.9  58.8  280   2  1  10.1   5.5
  7000  14.8  58.6  315  10  5   5.7   3.1 |  15.7  60.3  280   2  1  10.3   5.7
  6750  15.2  59.4  315  11  5   6.3   3.5 |  16.5  61.7  275   1  1  10.0   5.5
  6500  15.5  59.9  310  11  5   1.3   0.7 |  17.2  63.0  270   1  1  10.4   5.7
  6250  15.3  59.5  305   9  4  -3.2  -1.8 |  18.0  64.4  270   1  1  11.1   6.1
  6000  15.1  59.2  295   7  3  -2.5  -1.4 |  18.8  65.8  270   1  1  10.3   5.6
  5750  14.8  58.6  275   5  3  -3.0  -1.7 |  19.6  67.3  270   1  1  11.9   6.5
  5500  14.6  58.3  245   5  2   1.4   0.8 |  20.7  69.3  265   1  1  19.7  10.8

           05/02/2015 at 1500 MDT          |       05/02/2015 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
K index... +23.8  LI... +272.0             | K index... +25.6  LI... +271.6
CAPE... +249.5  CIN... -41.5               | CAPE... +266.5  CIN... -6.6
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -62.2 -80.0  270  31 16  -0.4  -0.2 | -62.6 -80.7  275  33 17  -0.5  -0.3
 45000 -62.8 -81.0  270  37 19  -0.1  -0.1 | -63.4 -82.1  270  39 20  -0.5  -0.3
 40000 -62.9 -81.2  265  40 21  -0.1  -0.0 | -64.1 -83.4  255  39 20  -0.4  -0.2
 38000 -60.6 -77.1  265  40 21   6.1   3.3 | -61.3 -78.3  255  38 20   7.4   4.0
 36000 -56.5 -69.7  265  40 20   6.1   3.3 | -56.8 -70.2  255  37 19   7.4   4.0
 34000 -52.1 -61.8  265  38 20   8.9   4.9 | -51.4 -60.5  255  36 19   9.0   4.9
 32000 -46.7 -52.1  265  36 18   8.9   4.9 | -46.0 -50.8  255  37 19   9.0   4.9
 30000 -41.3 -42.3  265  34 18   9.2   5.0 | -40.6 -41.1  255  36 18   8.9   4.9
 29000 -38.5 -37.3  265  34 17   9.2   5.0 | -37.9 -36.2  260  35 18   8.9   4.9
 28000 -35.8 -32.4  265  33 17   9.2   5.0 | -35.3 -31.5  260  34 17   8.9   4.9
 27000 -33.2 -27.8  265  31 16   7.4   4.1 | -32.7 -26.9  260  33 17   8.3   4.6
 26000 -31.0 -23.8  265  28 14   7.5   4.1 | -30.2 -22.4  260  32 16   8.4   4.6
 25000 -28.8 -19.8  265  24 12   7.5   4.1 | -27.7 -17.9  265  30 16   8.4   4.6
 24000 -26.5 -15.7  265  22 11   8.3   4.6 | -25.3 -13.5  265  29 15   7.4   4.1
 23000 -24.0 -11.2  275  23 12   8.3   4.5 | -23.0  -9.4  265  26 14   7.6   4.1
 22000 -21.5  -6.7  280  25 13   8.2   4.5 | -20.8  -5.4  270  24 12   7.6   4.2
 21000 -19.1  -2.4  280  26 13   7.9   4.3 | -18.6  -1.5  270  22 11   7.3   4.0
 20000 -16.8   1.8  280  27 14   8.0   4.4 | -16.4   2.5  275  21 11   7.3   4.0
 19500 -15.6   3.9  280  28 14   8.0   4.4 | -15.4   4.3  280  20 10   7.3   4.0
 19000 -14.4   6.1  280  29 15   8.0   4.4 | -14.3   6.3  280  20 10   7.3   4.0
 18500 -13.3   8.1  280  28 15   8.1   4.4 | -13.2   8.2  285  19 10   7.3   4.0
 18000 -11.5  11.3  280  27 14   8.1   4.4 | -12.1  10.2  290  18  9   7.3   4.0
 17500 -10.3  13.5  280  26 13   8.2   4.5 | -10.5  13.1  290  16  8   7.4   4.1
 17000  -9.1  15.6  280  24 13   8.2   4.5 |  -9.4  15.1  290  14  7   7.4   4.1
 16500  -7.9  17.8  280  23 12   8.4   4.6 |  -8.3  17.1  290  12  6   7.7   4.2
 16000  -6.6  20.1  280  21 11   8.5   4.6 |  -7.2  19.0  290  10  5   7.8   4.3
 15500  -5.4  22.3  275  20 10   8.6   4.7 |  -6.0  21.2  285   7  4   7.7   4.2
 15000  -4.1  24.6  275  18  9   8.9   4.9 |  -4.9  23.2  270   5  3   7.5   4.1
 14500  -2.8  27.0  275  17  9   8.9   4.9 |  -3.8  25.2  240   4  2   7.5   4.1
 14000  -1.5  29.3  275  15  8   8.9   4.9 |  -2.6  27.3  215   4  2   8.8   4.8
 13500  -0.1  31.8  270  14  7   8.8   4.9 |  -1.3  29.7  205   5  3   8.6   4.7
 13000   1.2  34.2  270  13  7   9.1   5.0 |   0.0  32.0  200   5  3  10.0   5.5
 12500   2.5  36.5  265  11  6   9.1   5.0 |   1.5  34.7  200   6  3  10.6   5.5
 12000   3.9  39.0  265   9  5   9.1   5.0 |   3.0  37.4  200   6  3   9.7   5.3
 11500   5.2  41.4  260   7  4   9.2   5.0 |   4.4  39.9  195   6  3   9.7   5.3
 11000   6.5  43.7  250   5  3   7.2   4.0 |   5.8  42.4  195   6  3   8.4   4.6
 10500   7.5  45.5  235   4  2   6.3   3.5 |   7.0  44.6  195   6  3   7.4   4.0
 10250   8.1  46.6  215   3  1   9.9   5.4 |   7.7  45.9  195   6  3  11.9   6.5
 10000   8.9  48.0  205   2  1  10.5   5.8 |   8.7  47.7  195   6  3  12.7   6.9
  9750   9.5  49.1  190   2  1   7.4   4.1 |   9.4  48.9  200   5  3   8.6   4.7
  9500  10.1  50.2  180   2  1   8.2   4.5 |  10.1  50.2  200   5  3   9.7   5.3
  9250  10.7  51.3  165   2  1   8.3   4.5 |  10.8  51.4  200   5  3   9.4   5.2
  9000  11.4  52.5  160   2  1   9.2   5.0 |  11.5  52.7  200   5  3   9.7   5.3
  8750  12.1  53.8  160   2  1   9.5   5.2 |  12.3  54.1  205   5  3   9.8   5.4
  8500  12.8  55.0  155   2  1   9.3   5.1 |  13.0  55.4  205   5  2   9.7   5.3
  8250  13.4  56.1  155   2  1  10.0   5.5 |  13.7  56.7  210   5  2   9.9   5.4
  8000  14.2  57.6  155   2  1  10.2   5.6 |  14.4  57.9  210   5  2   9.9   5.4
  7750  14.9  58.8  150   2  1   9.4   5.2 |  15.2  59.4  215   5  2   9.6   5.3
  7500  15.6  60.1  150   1  1   9.5   5.2 |  15.9  60.6  215   4  2   9.6   5.3
  7250  16.4  61.5  150   1  1  10.0   5.5 |  16.6  61.9  215   4  2   9.7   5.3
  7000  17.1  62.8  150   1  1  10.3   5.7 |  17.3  63.1  220   4  2   9.8   5.4
  6750  17.9  64.2  150   1  1   9.7   5.3 |  18.1  64.6  220   4  2   9.9   5.4
  6500  18.6  65.5  155   1  1  10.1   5.5 |  18.8  65.8  220   4  2  10.0   5.5
  6250  19.4  66.9  150   1  1  11.0   6.1 |  19.5  67.1  220   4  2  10.1   5.5
  6000  20.2  68.4  150   1  1  11.0   6.1 |  20.3  68.5  225   4  2  10.1   5.5
  5750  21.0  69.8  150   1  0  10.7   5.9 |  21.0  69.8  225   4  2   9.9   5.4
  5500  21.9  71.4  160   1  0  15.5   8.5 |  21.7  71.1  230   4  2  10.4   5.7
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC).  It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the old Stapleton
Airport site in Denver, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  39 deg 46 min 5.016 sec
                   West Longitude: 104 deg 52 min 9.984 sec
                   Elevation: 5285 feet (1611 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613


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