Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 191031
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.DISCUSSION...

...HAINES INDEX NEAR 5 TODAY FOR PARTS OF THE REGION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA WILL SUPPLY ANOTHER RAIN FREE
DAY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK...WITH MIDDAY AND
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ONCE AGAIN DROPPING TO BETWEEN
20 AND 25 PERCENT. WHILE THE RH VALUES WILL BE A CONCERN...
RECENT RAINS SHOULD LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF DRY FUELS.

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM EVOLVING OVER THE MID WEST TODAY WILL PUSH
A WARM FRONT NORTHWARDS ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER SOAKING RAIN FOR THE REGION
ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS. AFTER A SIX HOUR BREAK IN THE
UNSETTLED WEATHER MONDAY AFTERNOON...A COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN
MORE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT.

NYZ001-002-010-011-192130-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           90
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       67           48           70
AM WIND (MPH)                    E 12                     SE 18
PM WIND (MPH)                    E 16         E 15         S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.42         0.19
PRECIP DURATION                                  7            4
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING        11 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               22           75           52
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3970            0         5140
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 19         E 15         S 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               75430            0       102800
DISPERSION INDEX                   75            0          103
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-192130-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       66           46           68
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  9                      S 22
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 14        SE 18         S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.38         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                                  9            3
PRECIP BEGIN                                  7 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               20           77           54
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3980           40         4490
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 17        SE 25         S 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               67660         1000       103270
DISPERSION INDEX                   68            1          103
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-192130-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100          100
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       67           44           68
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  8                     SE 20
PM WIND (MPH)                    E 12        SE 14        SE 19
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.32         0.19
PRECIP DURATION                                  5            6
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         1 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               21           70           49
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4420            0         3890
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 15         E 13         S 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               66300            0       120590
DISPERSION INDEX                   66            0          121
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-192130-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           80          100
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       64           38           59
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  6                     SE 20
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  7         E 11        SE 21
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.12         0.30
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            9
PRECIP BEGIN                                  1 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         5 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               20           69           52
HAINES INDEX                        5            4            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4550            0         3620
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  9        SE 14        SE 45
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               40950            0       162900
DISPERSION INDEX                   41            0          163
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$







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