Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 160856
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
456 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

.DISCUSSION...

IT WILL BE A BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK
TODAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE EXITING OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL
SUPPLY US WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE AND COMFORTABLE EARLY SPRING
TEMPERATURES. CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING
THOUGH...AS A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL USHER IN THICKENING CLOUDS
AND EVENTUALLY SOME FAIRLY WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THE SHOWERS WILL
TAPER OFF AND GIVE WAY TO CLEARING BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY.

NYZ001-002-010-011-162115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
456 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       CLOUDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       70           47           65
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  8                      W 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  8         S  7         W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.12         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                  5            2
PRECIP BEGIN                                  8 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING        11 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               24           91           48
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5620            0         4380
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 13        SW 15         W 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               73060            0        70080
DISPERSION INDEX                   73            0           70
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-162115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
456 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       67           44           64
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE 11                      W  9
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 14         S 13         W  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.18         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                                  6            4
PRECIP BEGIN                                  6 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         1 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               25           99           50
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7640            0         4030
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 23         S 23        NW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              175720            0        56420
DISPERSION INDEX                  176            0           56
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-162115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
456 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       70           47           66
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 10                      W  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 11         S  9         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.12         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                                  4            4
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         1 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               24           90           48
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4860            0         4210
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 15         S  9         W 19
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               72900            0        79990
DISPERSION INDEX                   73            0           80
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-162115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
456 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           90
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       67           41           61
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  7                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  9         S  8         W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.13         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            6
PRECIP BEGIN                                 12 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         4 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               22           98           52
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5000            0         6230
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 14         S 14         W 19
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               70000            0       118370
DISPERSION INDEX                   70            0          118
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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