Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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000
FXUS65 KLKN 262147
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
247 PM PDT SUN APR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET
BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTER
WINDS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WINDS ARE BELOW WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA OVER WESTERN NYE COUNTY AT THIS TIME...THEREFORE
HAVE CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. HOWEVER...WINDS MAY STILL BE
CLOSE NEAR TONOPAH WITH LOCAL GUSTS REACHING NEAR 45 MPH AT TIMES
UNTIL SUNSET. WINDS WILL DIMINISH OVER THE REST OF THE ZONES
OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE CWA. WIDESPREAD
SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH THE
CWA UNDER LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES. WARMING TREND MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AS HIGH CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER NEVADA WITH READINGS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 70S.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE LONG TERM.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE GREAT BASIN IS POSITIONED BETWEEN A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE OVER ARIZONA AND A WEAK TROUGH SKIRTING NORTHERN
NEVADA OVERNIGHT. OTHER THAN AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO ACROSS
NORTHERN HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.

THURSDAY...A POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH JUST WEST OF SAN
FRANCISCO BAY WILL PROVIDE A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION.
INSTABILITY PARAMETERS FOCUS THE INSTABILTY FROM THE RUBY MTNS TO
NORTHWEST NYE COUNTY WITH LI`S AROUND MINUS 1 EXCEPT IN THE RUBY
MTNS WITH LI`S AROUND MINUS 2 AND CAPE VALUES AROUND 200 J/KG. ADDED
THUNDER IN THESE AREAS WITH A FOCUS FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MODELS SHOW VARIOUS SOLUTIONS FOR THIS
TIME FRAME AS THE GFS INDICATES BROAD TROUGHINESS OVER THE GREAT
BASIN WHILE THE EC KEEPS A CLOSED LOW OFF THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
COAST WITH RIDGING IN PLACE FOR THE GREAT BASIN. IN ANY
EVENT...STABLE CONDITIONS RETURN WITH DRY CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT
WHILE BOTH MODEL HINT AT CONVECTION ALONG THE NEVADA CONVERGENCE
ZONE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

NEXT WEEKEND...SOME MID LEVEL TROUGHINESS LOOKS TO BE IN PLACE SO
SOME AFTERNOON CONVECTION MAY BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON
MAX TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION... STRONGEST WIND GUSTS TO 40 TO 45 MPH ARE BEING REPORTED
AT KTPH...BUT EXPECT WIND GUSTS TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE WITH THE LOSS
OF HEATING THIS EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

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