Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS73 KAPX 181342
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EVER GREEN EAGLE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
942 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1900 EDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECTING A SHARP RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROP THIS AFTERNOON...
THOUGH EASTERLY WIND OFF LAKE HURON WILL MITIGATE THIS SOMEWHAT ALONG
THE SHORELINE COUNTIES (SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURE AND HIGHER DEW POINTS
AS A RESULT).  STILL EXPECT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...
BUT WILL RECOVER THIS EVENING WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING/MIXING.
ANY WIND GUSTINESS FROM THE AFTERNOON ALSO EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY EARLY
EVENING.  HYSPLIT RUN TO FOLLOW.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(700).

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3   4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............60  59
RH..............24  25
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15
HAINES INDEX....4   4
SMOKE DISP......700 600

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MIN 32.
RH..................30 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST 7 TO 12 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING.


TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........5   6   6   6   7   8   10  12  12  14  18  25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............58  55  52  49  46  42  39  37  36  34  33  33
RH..............27  32  38  42  45  50  57  61  64  69  72  75
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..7   6   6   6   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   3
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN STEARNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150418.EVERG.01/APX


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