Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FNUS73 KEAX 051350
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SERICEA RESEARCH FIRST SPRING...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
850 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE SOUTH SURFACE WINDS WILL
BECOME A BIT BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS UP TO 15 MPH
AND GUSTS OVER 20 MPH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-5300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    6900-8600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 6100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 26 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........35     36     41     48
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............76     80     82     81
RH..............52     46     45     47
20 FT WIND......S 12   S 13   S 15   S 13
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     15
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........53     56     60     62     74     89
WEATHER COV.....                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............77     72     68     66     63     62
RH..............55     65     72     74     83     87
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 8    S 8    SE 8   SE 9   S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      4      4      3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.80 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........100    99     99     98     86     70
WEATHER COV.....OCNL   OCNL   OCNL   CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............63     65     68     71     74     74
RH..............84     82     78     74     67     63
20 FT WIND......S 10   S 13   S 15   S 16   S 17   S 16
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     25     25     20
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      4

$$
FORECASTER...CUTTER
REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150505.SERIC.01/EAX










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